沙田 · 2025-01-01 · 10:00
第 11場
2025-01-01沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1600米。由H Bentley策騎、K H Ting訓練的HUGE WAVE勝出，贏出HD。STEPS AHEAD獲得亞軍；MY WISH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門MY WISH跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HUGE WAVE 後段發力 TT 1.34.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 24.0 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | STEPS AHEAD 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 7.2 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 13 | 61.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | FALLON 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | STAR MAC 後段發力 CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS B-/V1/TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 36.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | PRESTIGE GOOD 後段發力 B1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 125.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | VOYAGE SAMURAI CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 5.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | RED HARE KING TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 55.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 6 | SIMPLY MAVERICK 後段發力 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 96.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | MICKLEY TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 4.4 | 4 |
| 13 | 13 | MIDORI FUJI CP/TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 4 | 155.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | FLAMING RABBIT 早段領放 B-/SR/TT2 P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 7 | 49.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PRAY FOR MIR M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MICKLEY | 19.0% | 5.26 | 12 |
| 2 | 5 | MY WISH | 16.7% | 6.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 15.3% | 6.53 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | STEPS AHEAD | 13.0% | 7.72 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | FALLON | 8.8% | 11.41 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | HUGE WAVE | 5.0% | 20.19 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | STAR MAC | 4.0% | 24.74 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 4.0% | 24.76 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | RED HARE KING | 3.8% | 26.05 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 2.9% | 34.35 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 2.2% | 45.91 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | FLAMING RABBIT | 1.9% | 52.90 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | MIDORI FUJI | 1.8% | 57.08 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 1.7% | 59.79 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 245.5
PLACE
5 12.5
9 22.5
10 48
QUINELLA
9,10 846
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 44.5
5,10 104
9,10 215.5
FORECAST
10,9 2,211
TIERCE
10,9,5 8,166
TRIO
5,9,10 789
FIRST 4
5,9,10,14 5,526
QUARTET
10,9,5,14 202,092
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
1/9 157.5
1/10 1,464
2ND TREBLE
11/1/9 533
11/1/10 6,977
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/5,9,10 63,250
SIX UP
2,5/5,7/6,7/2,11/1,5/9,10 2,828
5/7/6/11/1/10 180,028
1 [Z Purton] —
6 [P F Yiu] —