沙田 · 2025-03-09 · 06:35
第 5場
2025-03-09沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由P N Wong策騎、D J Hall訓練的NATURAL HIGH勝出，贏出3-1/4。CHILL KAKA獲得亞軍；FORTUNE WARRIOR獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門VULCANUS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NATURAL HIGH B 1.08.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | CHILL KAKA PC-/V1 R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR P/XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SPICY STANDARD P1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 63.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | VULCANUS H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 1 | 3.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 11 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 5.6 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | HINOKAMI KAGURA BO1 H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 7 | 36.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 44.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | JUDY'S GREAT TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 2 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | OFFROAD MASTER B M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 11.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VULCANUS | 20.8% | 4.80 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 17.3% | 5.77 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | JUDY'S GREAT | 9.6% | 10.37 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING | 8.3% | 12.05 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | CHILL KAKA | 8.0% | 12.52 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | OFFROAD MASTER | 7.9% | 12.68 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 7.3% | 13.68 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | NATURAL HIGH | 6.6% | 15.04 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | JOLLY COMPANION | 4.4% | 22.91 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 4.1% | 24.57 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 3.6% | 27.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | SPICY STANDARD | 2.0% | 49.37 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 127.5
PLACE
2 16.5
7 33.5
8 32
QUINELLA
7,8 594.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 108.5
2,8 89
7,8 177.5
FORECAST
7,8 1,111
TIERCE
7,8,2 8,056
TRIO
2,7,8 1,212
FIRST 4
2,6,7,8 12,072
QUARTET
7,8,2,6 305,068
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/2,7/7 2,464
4/2,7/8 357
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,14>2,7/2,7,8 246,034
4TH DOUBLE
2,7/7 678
2,7/8 83.5