沙田 · 2025-03-09 · 07:40
第 7場
2025-03-09沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米。由P N Wong策騎、K L Man訓練的SELF IMPROVEMENT勝出，贏出SH。GUMMY GUMMY獲得亞軍；MASK RIDER獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門MOJAVE DESERT跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT 1.08.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 4 | 6.6 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY B H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | MASK RIDER TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 7.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MOJAVE DESERT XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SHINYU KOKOROE K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 29.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 9 | 24.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | SPEEDY TRIDENT B1/TT1 B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 11 | 57.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SAL Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 12 | 118.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND H1/P1/XB1 D McDonogh · C W Chang | D McDonogh | C W Chang | 10 | 91.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MOJAVE DESERT | 18.8% | 5.32 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | MUST GO | 17.4% | 5.73 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | MASK RIDER | 15.1% | 6.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 13.8% | 7.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY | 7.8% | 12.78 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | GALAXY WITNESS | 6.9% | 14.48 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | MONTA FRUTTA | 5.5% | 18.07 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 4.6% | 21.90 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND | 3.4% | 29.45 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 3.1% | 31.78 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 2.7% | 37.35 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | SAL | 0.8% | 128.78 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 66
PLACE
1 21
2 30
3 24
QUINELLA
1,2 356.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 108.5
1,3 83
2,3 158
FORECAST
1,2 713
TIERCE
1,2,3 3,415
TRIO
1,2,3 416
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 1,922
QUARTET
1,2,3,6 45,523
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,14/1,2,3 1,216,199
6TH DOUBLE
14/1 8,827.5
14/2 2,738
TRIPLE TRIO
2,7,8/3,5,14/1,2,3 1,778,000
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,8/3,5,14/Any Combination 35,559