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Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 07:40

Race 7

Class 3 1200m 12 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 3 over 1200m. SELF IMPROVEMENT, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with GUMMY GUMMY second and MASK RIDER third. The 2.8 favourite MOJAVE DESERT finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.08.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT 1.08.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man 4 6.6 SH
2 2 GUMMY GUMMY B H Bowman · T P Yung 3 11.0 SH
3 3 MASK RIDER TT K De Melo · W Y So 2 7.7 1/2
4 6 GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes 5 15.0 1
5 5 MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size 6 3.8 1-1/4
6 7 MOJAVE DESERT XB L Ferraris · M Newnham 7 2.8 1-1/4
7 12 MONTA FRUTTA H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 8 17.0 4-3/4
8 8 SHINYU KOKOROE K Teetan · D A Hayes 1 29.0 8-1/4
9 4 VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor 9 24.0 10-1/2
10 9 SPEEDY TRIDENT B1/TT1 B Thompson · Y S Tsui 11 57.0 10-1/2
11 10 SAL Y L Chung · C W Chang 12 118.0 11
12 11 CALL TO COMMAND H1/P1/XB1 D McDonogh · C W Chang 10 91.0 11-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SELF IMPROVEMENT2. GUMMY GUMMY+0.1L3. MASK RIDER+0.5L4. GALAXY WITNESS+1L5. MUST GO+1.25L6. MOJAVE DESERT+1.25L7. MONTA FRUTTA+4.75L8. SHINYU KOKOROE+8.25L9. VICTORY MOMENTS+10.5L10. SPEEDY TRIDENT+10.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MOJAVE DESERT (18.8%) finished 6th — the winner SELF IMPROVEMENT was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 MOJAVE DESERT 18.8% 5.32 6
2 5 MUST GO 17.4% 5.73 5
3 3 MASK RIDER 15.1% 6.63 3
4 1 SELF IMPROVEMENT 13.8% 7.22 1
5 2 GUMMY GUMMY 7.8% 12.78 2
6 6 GALAXY WITNESS 6.9% 14.48 4
7 12 MONTA FRUTTA 5.5% 18.07 7
8 8 SHINYU KOKOROE 4.6% 21.90 8
9 11 CALL TO COMMAND 3.4% 29.45 12
10 4 VICTORY MOMENTS 3.1% 31.78 9
11 9 SPEEDY TRIDENT 2.7% 37.35 10
12 10 SAL 0.8% 128.78 11
MOJAVE DESERTMUST GOMASK RIDERSELF IMPROVEMENT — wonGUMMY GUMMYGALAXY WITNESSMONTA FRUTTASHINYU KOKOROECALL TO COMMANDVICTORY MOMENTSSPEEDY TRIDENTSAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 66

PLACE

1 21

2 30

3 24

QUINELLA

1,2 356.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 108.5

1,3 83

2,3 158

FORECAST

1,2 713

TIERCE

1,2,3 3,415

TRIO

1,2,3 416

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 1,922

QUARTET

1,2,3,6 45,523

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,14/1,2,3 1,216,199

6TH DOUBLE

14/1 8,827.5

14/2 2,738

TRIPLE TRIO

2,7,8/3,5,14/1,2,3 1,778,000

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,7,8/3,5,14/Any Combination 35,559