Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 07:40
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 3 over 1200m. SELF IMPROVEMENT, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with GUMMY GUMMY second and MASK RIDER third. The 2.8 favourite MOJAVE DESERT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT 1.08.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 4 | 6.6 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY B H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | MASK RIDER TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 7.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | MUST GO E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MOJAVE DESERT XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SHINYU KOKOROE K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 29.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 9 | 24.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | SPEEDY TRIDENT B1/TT1 B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 11 | 57.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SAL Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 12 | 118.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND H1/P1/XB1 D McDonogh · C W Chang | D McDonogh | C W Chang | 10 | 91.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MOJAVE DESERT | 18.8% | 5.32 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | MUST GO | 17.4% | 5.73 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | MASK RIDER | 15.1% | 6.63 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 13.8% | 7.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | GUMMY GUMMY | 7.8% | 12.78 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | GALAXY WITNESS | 6.9% | 14.48 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | MONTA FRUTTA | 5.5% | 18.07 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 4.6% | 21.90 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | CALL TO COMMAND | 3.4% | 29.45 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 3.1% | 31.78 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 2.7% | 37.35 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | SAL | 0.8% | 128.78 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 66
PLACE
1 21
2 30
3 24
QUINELLA
1,2 356.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 108.5
1,3 83
2,3 158
FORECAST
1,2 713
TIERCE
1,2,3 3,415
TRIO
1,2,3 416
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 1,922
QUARTET
1,2,3,6 45,523
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,14/1,2,3 1,216,199
6TH DOUBLE
14/1 8,827.5
14/2 2,738
TRIPLE TRIO
2,7,8/3,5,14/1,2,3 1,778,000
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,8/3,5,14/Any Combination 35,559