Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 08:40
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 3 over 1400m. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with MAGNIFICENT NINE second and THE BOOM BOX third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite THE BOOM BOX finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly XB/CP1 1.21.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 3.3 | N |
| 2 | 5 | MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly B/E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 6.5 | N |
| 3 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX Closed strongly K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUGAR BALL Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 7 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | CALL ME GORGEOUS Closed strongly M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 13 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS B-/CP2 J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 3 | 8.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | I P O BROS P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 1 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 78.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BRIGHT DAY CP/TT1 L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 2 | 77.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | C YEAH CP-/B1 R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 8 | 185.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | CATCH ME IF U CAN B1/TT1 A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 108.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | FREE PONY SR1 B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 14 | 172.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | LIGHTNESS OF BEING CP1/TT1 D McDonogh · A S Cruz | D McDonogh | A S Cruz | 5 | 100.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | THE BOOM BOX | 32.8% | 3.05 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 16.6% | 6.01 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 13.2% | 7.60 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 10.1% | 9.88 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | SUGAR BALL | 5.6% | 17.96 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | LIGHTNESS OF BEING | 3.4% | 29.41 | 14 |
| 7 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY | 3.2% | 30.83 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | I P O BROS | 3.0% | 33.17 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | CATCH ME IF U CAN | 3.0% | 33.26 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | BRIGHT DAY | 2.4% | 41.42 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | CALL ME GORGEOUS | 2.4% | 42.40 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | FREE PONY | 2.0% | 49.85 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | LOST CHILD | 1.7% | 57.97 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | C YEAH | 0.6% | 175.48 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 33
PLACE
1 14.5
5 20.5
11 13
QUINELLA
5,11 98
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 40
1,11 24.5
5,11 35.5
FORECAST
11,5 203
TIERCE
11,5,1 545
TRIO
1,5,11 77
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 285
QUARTET
11,5,1,12 6,084
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/1,5,11 5,101
8TH DOUBLE
2/5 82
2/11 279.5