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Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 16:38

Race 9

Class 3 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly XB/CP1 1.21.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham 6 3.3 N
2 5 MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly B/E B Avdulla · J Size 11 6.5 N
3 1 THE BOOM BOX Closed strongly K Teetan · W Y So 9 2.7 1/2
4 12 BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 21.0 2
5 8 SUGAR BALL Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · W K Mo 7 14.0 4
6 9 CALL ME GORGEOUS Closed strongly M Chadwick · K W Lui 13 15.0 4
7 3 GRACIOUS EXPRESS B-/CP2 J Orman · P F Yiu 3 8.1 4
8 14 I P O BROS P N Wong · D A Hayes 1 31.0 4-1/2
9 10 LOST CHILD Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang 12 78.0 5-3/4
10 2 BRIGHT DAY CP/TT1 L Ferraris · K L Man 2 77.0 8-1/2
11 13 C YEAH CP-/B1 R Kingscote · K H Ting 8 185.0 9
12 4 CATCH ME IF U CAN B1/TT1 A Badel · C Fownes 4 108.0 9-3/4
13 6 FREE PONY SR1 B Thompson · T P Yung 14 172.0 10-1/2
14 7 LIGHTNESS OF BEING CP1/TT1 D McDonogh · A S Cruz 5 100.0 11

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 3 over 1400m. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with MAGNIFICENT NINE second and THE BOOM BOX third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite THE BOOM BOX finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE—2. MAGNIFICENT NINE+0.05L3. THE BOOM BOX+0.5L4. BEAUTY GLORY+2L5. SUGAR BALL+4L6. CALL ME GORGEOUS+4L7. GRACIOUS EXPRESS+4L8. I P O BROS+4.5L9. LOST CHILD+5.75L10. BRIGHT DAY+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick THE BOOM BOX (32.8%) finished 3rd — the winner ARMOUR WAR EAGLE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 THE BOOM BOX 32.8% 3.05 3
2 5 MAGNIFICENT NINE 16.6% 6.01 2
3 3 GRACIOUS EXPRESS 13.2% 7.60 7
4 11 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 10.1% 9.88 1
5 8 SUGAR BALL 5.6% 17.96 5
6 7 LIGHTNESS OF BEING 3.4% 29.41 14
7 12 BEAUTY GLORY 3.2% 30.83 4
8 14 I P O BROS 3.0% 33.17 8
9 4 CATCH ME IF U CAN 3.0% 33.26 12
10 2 BRIGHT DAY 2.4% 41.42 10
11 9 CALL ME GORGEOUS 2.4% 42.40 6
12 6 FREE PONY 2.0% 49.85 13
13 10 LOST CHILD 1.7% 57.97 9
14 13 C YEAH 0.6% 175.48 11
THE BOOM BOXMAGNIFICENT NINEGRACIOUS EXPRESSARMOUR WAR EAGLE — wonSUGAR BALLLIGHTNESS OF BEINGBEAUTY GLORYI P O BROSCATCH ME IF U CANBRIGHT DAYCALL ME GORGEOUSFREE PONYLOST CHILDC YEAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 33

PLACE

1 14.5

5 20.5

11 13

QUINELLA

5,11 98

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 40

1,11 24.5

5,11 35.5

FORECAST

11,5 203

TIERCE

11,5,1 545

TRIO

1,5,11 77

FIRST 4

1,5,11,12 285

QUARTET

11,5,1,12 6,084

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,7/1,5,11 5,101

8TH DOUBLE

2/5 82

2/11 279.5