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Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 15:03

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H 1.21.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 10 132.0 1/2
2 5 GALLANT EPOCH Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 4 7.7 1/2
3 3 KA YING SUPERB Closed strongly H/XB K Teetan · W K Mo 5 6.6 1/2
4 1 STELLAR SWIFT B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 11 5.1 3/4
5 13 JOLLY JUMPER Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · T P Yung 7 11.0 1-3/4
6 2 ETALON OR B/TT R Kingscote · P F Yiu 8 2.9 2-1/4
7 7 WROTE A NEW PAGE Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 6 20.0 3-1/2
8 9 SUNNY Q Closed strongly K De Melo · W Y So 14 13.0 3-1/2
9 8 STRATHPEFFER Led early B L Ferraris · D J Whyte 12 12.0 3-3/4
10 12 HAPPY UNIVERSE P J Orman · K H Ting 3 25.0 5
11 11 COSMIC SPURS B/TT B Thompson · J Size 2 117.0 11
12 10 MUSANG KING B H Bentley · F C Lor 13 32.0 11-3/4
13 4 RICH HORSE Closed strongly H/XB D McDonogh · D J Hall 9 192.0 13
14 6 BOMBUS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 76.0 13-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 4 over 1400m. THE AUSPICIOUS, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1/2, with GALLANT EPOCH second and KA YING SUPERB third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite ETALON OR finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE AUSPICIOUS—2. GALLANT EPOCH+0.5L3. KA YING SUPERB+0.5L4. STELLAR SWIFT+0.75L5. JOLLY JUMPER+1.75L6. ETALON OR+2.25L7. WROTE A NEW PAGE+3.5L8. SUNNY Q+3.5L9. STRATHPEFFER+3.75L10. HAPPY UNIVERSE+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GALLANT EPOCH (22.6%) finished 2nd — the winner THE AUSPICIOUS was rated #13. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 GALLANT EPOCH 22.6% 4.42 2
2 2 ETALON OR 16.7% 5.99 6
3 3 KA YING SUPERB 12.5% 8.03 3
4 13 JOLLY JUMPER 9.2% 10.82 5
5 12 HAPPY UNIVERSE 8.2% 12.17 10
6 8 STRATHPEFFER 7.4% 13.49 9
7 1 STELLAR SWIFT 5.8% 17.34 4
8 7 WROTE A NEW PAGE 5.0% 20.16 7
9 10 MUSANG KING 3.9% 25.67 12
10 6 BOMBUS 2.7% 36.76 14
11 9 SUNNY Q 2.6% 38.59 8
12 4 RICH HORSE 1.3% 77.96 13
13 14 THE AUSPICIOUS 1.2% 85.34 1
14 11 COSMIC SPURS 1.0% 103.09 11
GALLANT EPOCHETALON ORKA YING SUPERBJOLLY JUMPERHAPPY UNIVERSESTRATHPEFFERSTELLAR SWIFTWROTE A NEW PAGEMUSANG KINGBOMBUSSUNNY QRICH HORSETHE AUSPICIOUS — wonCOSMIC SPURS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 1,326

PLACE

3 22.5

5 23.5

14 255

QUINELLA

5,14 5,584

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 76.5

3,14 1,601

5,14 1,568.5

FORECAST

14,5 15,433

TIERCE

14,5,3 100,665

TRIO

3,5,14 11,122

FIRST 4

1,3,5,14 9,504

QUARTET

14,5,3,1 319,138

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

7/5 102

7/14 8,299