Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 04:35
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 5 over 1400m. REGENCY HAPPY STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by D Eustace, won by 3/4, with SO AWESOME second and CALIFORNIA ICON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly XB/TT 1.22.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 10 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SO AWESOME B/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 3 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 54.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 12 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | MULTIDARLING Closed strongly TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 1 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | PERFECTO MOMENTS CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | JOYFUL LIFE TT2 R Kingscote · C H Yip | R Kingscote | C H Yip | 5 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | MORE RICE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | WISDOM STAR PC-/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 116.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | LAPRAS TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 14 | 31.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly XB D McDonogh · P C Ng | D McDonogh | P C Ng | 2 | 32.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | WINNING TURN PC/TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 6 | 50.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | SUPER BABY Led early TT P N Wong · M Newnham | P N Wong | M Newnham | 9 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 32.2% | 3.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | MORE RICE | 9.9% | 10.11 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 7.4% | 13.44 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER BABY | 6.7% | 14.98 | 14 |
| 5 | 2 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 6.6% | 15.22 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | JOYFUL LIFE | 6.4% | 15.73 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | SO AWESOME | 6.2% | 16.18 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | PERFECT PEACH | 5.3% | 19.00 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | WINNING TURN | 4.9% | 20.57 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | MULTIDARLING | 4.5% | 22.17 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | LAPRAS | 3.9% | 25.59 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | GANGNAM STAR | 3.0% | 33.73 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.2% | 44.76 | 3 |
| 14 | 4 | WISDOM STAR | 0.9% | 110.22 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 27
PLACE
7 16
10 12.5
14 126
QUINELLA
7,10 59.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 26.5
7,14 297
10,14 225.5
FORECAST
10,7 117
TIERCE
10,7,14 2,681
TRIO
7,10,14 740
FIRST 4
6,7,10,14 1,216
QUARTET
10,7,14,6 16,342