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Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 12:31

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 REGENCY HAPPY STAR Closed strongly XB/TT 1.22.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D Eustace 10 2.7 3/4
2 7 SO AWESOME B/TT H Bowman · K L Man 3 4.1 3/4
3 14 CALIFORNIA ICON Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 54.0 1-1/4
4 6 WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall 12 12.0 3-1/4
5 12 MULTIDARLING Closed strongly TT H T Mo · T P Yung 1 18.0 3-1/2
6 2 PERFECTO MOMENTS CP H Bentley · K H Ting 7 17.0 3-3/4
7 5 JOYFUL LIFE TT2 R Kingscote · C H Yip 5 13.0 4-1/4
8 13 MORE RICE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · W Y So 8 11.0 4-3/4
9 1 PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 11 13.0 5
10 4 WISDOM STAR PC-/TT B Thompson · J Richards 4 116.0 6-3/4
11 11 LAPRAS TT A Hamelin · W K Mo 14 31.0 7-1/4
12 8 GANGNAM STAR Closed strongly XB D McDonogh · P C Ng 2 32.0 8
13 9 WINNING TURN PC/TT J Orman · P F Yiu 6 50.0 9-1/4
14 3 SUPER BABY Led early TT P N Wong · M Newnham 9 16.0 10-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 5 over 1400m. REGENCY HAPPY STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by D Eustace, won by 3/4, with SO AWESOME second and CALIFORNIA ICON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REGENCY HAPPY STAR—2. SO AWESOME+0.75L3. CALIFORNIA ICON+1.25L4. WINDICATOR FAMILY+3.25L5. MULTIDARLING+3.5L6. PERFECTO MOMENTS+3.75L7. JOYFUL LIFE+4.25L8. MORE RICE+4.75L9. PERFECT PEACH+5L10. WISDOM STAR+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick REGENCY HAPPY STAR (32.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 REGENCY HAPPY STAR 32.2% 3.10 1
2 13 MORE RICE 9.9% 10.11 8
3 6 WINDICATOR FAMILY 7.4% 13.44 4
4 3 SUPER BABY 6.7% 14.98 14
5 2 PERFECTO MOMENTS 6.6% 15.22 6
6 5 JOYFUL LIFE 6.4% 15.73 7
7 7 SO AWESOME 6.2% 16.18 2
8 1 PERFECT PEACH 5.3% 19.00 9
9 9 WINNING TURN 4.9% 20.57 13
10 12 MULTIDARLING 4.5% 22.17 5
11 11 LAPRAS 3.9% 25.59 11
12 8 GANGNAM STAR 3.0% 33.73 12
13 14 CALIFORNIA ICON 2.2% 44.76 3
14 4 WISDOM STAR 0.9% 110.22 10
REGENCY HAPPY STAR — wonMORE RICEWINDICATOR FAMILYSUPER BABYPERFECTO MOMENTSJOYFUL LIFESO AWESOMEPERFECT PEACHWINNING TURNMULTIDARLINGLAPRASGANGNAM STARCALIFORNIA ICONWISDOM STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 27

PLACE

7 16

10 12.5

14 126

QUINELLA

7,10 59.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,10 26.5

7,14 297

10,14 225.5

FORECAST

10,7 117

TIERCE

10,7,14 2,681

TRIO

7,10,14 740

FIRST 4

6,7,10,14 1,216

QUARTET

10,7,14,6 16,342