Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 09:15
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 2 over 1800m. BUNDLE AWARD, ridden by B Thompson and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with MARKWIN second and HELENE FEELING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SKY HEART finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E 1.46.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 7 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MARKWIN Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 11 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 12 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | LO RIDER Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SKY HEART Led early B/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 6 | 3.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | WINNING DRAGON TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MONEY CATCHER B M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 5 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | MR ASCENDENCY CP/TT D McDonogh · P F Yiu | D McDonogh | P F Yiu | 2 | 49.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | UNBELIEVABLE CP1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | CAMBRIDGE XB/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 117.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | C P BRAVE V B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 9 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | ENCOUNTERED B-/TT2 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 1 | 21.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 6 | SPEED DRAGON M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LO RIDER | 21.7% | 4.61 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | MR ASCENDENCY | 12.6% | 7.92 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | SKY HEART | 12.3% | 8.13 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | WINNING DRAGON | 9.4% | 10.68 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | MARKWIN | 7.4% | 13.57 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | ENCOUNTERED | 7.0% | 14.32 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | UNBELIEVABLE | 6.6% | 15.19 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | HELENE FEELING | 6.5% | 15.46 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | C P BRAVE | 6.2% | 16.17 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | BUNDLE AWARD | 5.8% | 17.27 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | MONEY CATCHER | 2.5% | 39.98 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | CAMBRIDGE | 2.1% | 47.06 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 62
PLACE
1 64.5
10 16.5
12 22
QUINELLA
10,12 140.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 179
1,12 242.5
10,12 54.5
FORECAST
12,10 336
TIERCE
12,10,1 5,643
TRIO
1,10,12 1,237
FIRST 4
1,10,12,13 1,181
QUARTET
12,10,1,13 28,821
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
11/10 40.5
11/12 448