Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 05:35
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 4 over 1200m. AKASHVANI, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with SEA EMERALD second and FLASH CURRENT third. The 3.6 favourite FLASH CURRENT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AKASHVANI 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SEA EMERALD SR1 J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 11 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FLASH CURRENT TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | RAGING RAPIDS TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ALWAYS FLUKE K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | SUNNY DARLING PC-/B2/TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | ISLAND BUDDY B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | PANDA B-/CP1/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | SURUGA BAY V-/TT- L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 55.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BEAUTY FORMULA TT D McDonogh · A S Cruz | D McDonogh | A S Cruz | 1 | 148.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 7 | 95.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PANDA | 23.3% | 4.29 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | SEA EMERALD | 17.4% | 5.74 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | RAGING RAPIDS | 9.6% | 10.44 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | FLASH CURRENT | 9.2% | 10.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | ISLAND BUDDY | 8.4% | 11.97 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | SUNNY DARLING | 7.4% | 13.57 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | AKASHVANI | 6.2% | 16.15 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 6.2% | 16.20 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | SURUGA BAY | 4.6% | 21.53 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 4.0% | 25.19 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 2.9% | 34.15 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | BEAUTY FORMULA | 0.8% | 123.88 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 46
PLACE
2 15
4 21
5 51.5
QUINELLA
4,5 328.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 42.5
2,5 124.5
4,5 134.5
FORECAST
4,5 591
TIERCE
4,5,2 1,611
TRIO
2,4,5 214
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 628
QUARTET
4,5,2,12 16,429
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/2,4,5 73,570
2ND DOUBLE
6/4 554
6/5 221