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Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 05:05

Race 2

Class 4 1200m Course C 11 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 4 over 1200m. MOUNT EVEREST, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by NOSE, with PATCH OF TIME second and FUN N GLORY third. The 2.4 favourite AUTUMN VIBES finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.09.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 MOUNT EVEREST 1.09.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So 11 19.0 NOSE
2 3 PATCH OF TIME L Hewitson · W K Mo 9 6.8 NOSE
3 12 FUN N GLORY B/XB P N Wong · D J Hall 1 4.0 N
4 7 TOP THRONE K Teetan · D A Hayes 8 4.9 3/4
5 4 AUTUMN VIBES SB1/TT H Bowman · J Richards 10 2.4 2-1/4
6 11 HAPPY TANGO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 2 47.0 4-3/4
7 1 MATTERS MOST CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 3 21.0 5
8 2 GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT J Orman · K L Man 7 24.0 6
9 9 DRALA V1 E C W Wong · P F Yiu 5 218.0 9-3/4
10 5 ARDEN TT B Avdulla · J Size 4 50.0 11
11 10 FOXHUNTER KING B/TT K De Melo · K W Lui 6 114.0 69-1/2
8 INVINCIBLE LUCKY L Ferraris · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MOUNT EVEREST2. PATCH OF TIME+0.05L3. FUN N GLORY+0.05L4. TOP THRONE+0.75L5. AUTUMN VIBES+2.25L6. HAPPY TANGO+4.75L7. MATTERS MOST+5L8. GOLDEN LUCK+6L9. DRALA+9.75L10. ARDEN+11L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick AUTUMN VIBES (40.3%) finished 5th — the winner MOUNT EVEREST was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 AUTUMN VIBES 40.3% 2.48 5
2 7 TOP THRONE 17.5% 5.73 4
3 12 FUN N GLORY 12.1% 8.26 3
4 3 PATCH OF TIME 8.4% 11.93 2
5 2 GOLDEN LUCK 6.6% 15.24 8
6 6 MOUNT EVEREST 5.9% 17.04 1
7 1 MATTERS MOST 3.0% 33.24 7
8 5 ARDEN 2.0% 49.96 10
9 11 HAPPY TANGO 1.8% 56.27 6
10 10 FOXHUNTER KING 1.6% 61.45 11
11 9 DRALA 0.9% 112.13 9
AUTUMN VIBESTOP THRONEFUN N GLORYPATCH OF TIMEGOLDEN LUCKMOUNT EVEREST — wonMATTERS MOSTARDENHAPPY TANGOFOXHUNTER KINGDRALA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 190.5

PLACE

3 19.5

6 41

12 14.5

QUINELLA

3,6 523

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 146.5

3,12 37.5

6,12 106.5

FORECAST

6,3 1,125

TIERCE

6,3,12 4,915

TRIO

3,6,12 682

FIRST 4

3,6,7,12 477

QUARTET

6,3,12,7 15,462

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/3 64.5

10/6 590.5