Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 05:05
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 4 over 1200m. MOUNT EVEREST, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by NOSE, with PATCH OF TIME second and FUN N GLORY third. The 2.4 favourite AUTUMN VIBES finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MOUNT EVEREST 1.09.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 19.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 3 | PATCH OF TIME L Hewitson · W K Mo | L Hewitson | W K Mo | 9 | 6.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | FUN N GLORY B/XB P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 1 | 4.0 | N |
| 4 | 7 | TOP THRONE K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | AUTUMN VIBES SB1/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | MATTERS MOST CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 7 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | DRALA V1 E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 218.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | ARDEN TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 50.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | FOXHUNTER KING B/TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 6 | 114.0 | 69-1/2 |
| — | 8 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AUTUMN VIBES | 40.3% | 2.48 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | TOP THRONE | 17.5% | 5.73 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | FUN N GLORY | 12.1% | 8.26 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | PATCH OF TIME | 8.4% | 11.93 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | GOLDEN LUCK | 6.6% | 15.24 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | MOUNT EVEREST | 5.9% | 17.04 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | MATTERS MOST | 3.0% | 33.24 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | ARDEN | 2.0% | 49.96 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 1.8% | 56.27 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | FOXHUNTER KING | 1.6% | 61.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | DRALA | 0.9% | 112.13 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 190.5
PLACE
3 19.5
6 41
12 14.5
QUINELLA
3,6 523
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 146.5
3,12 37.5
6,12 106.5
FORECAST
6,3 1,125
TIERCE
6,3,12 4,915
TRIO
3,6,12 682
FIRST 4
3,6,7,12 477
QUARTET
6,3,12,7 15,462
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/3 64.5
10/6 590.5