Sha Tin · 2025-03-09 · 08:10
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-09 was Class 1 over 1200m. LUCKY WITH YOU, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with COPARTNER PRANCE second and DROMBEG BANNER third. The 3.1 favourite DROMBEG BANNER finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY WITH YOU 1.08.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 4 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | DROMBEG BANNER K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | MUGEN P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 24.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 3.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | MAGIC CONTROL P/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | TAJ DRAGON B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 6 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | WHIZZ KID V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 2 | 29.0 | 5 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 28.8% | 3.47 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | DROMBEG BANNER | 21.3% | 4.68 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | MAGIC CONTROL | 15.7% | 6.39 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 13.3% | 7.54 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | WHIZZ KID | 6.9% | 14.50 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | TAJ DRAGON | 4.9% | 20.41 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.9% | 20.43 | 1 |
| 8 | 4 | MUGEN | 4.2% | 23.55 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 89.5
PLACE
2 22.5
6 26.5
7 15.5
QUINELLA
2,6 289.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 87.5
2,7 45.5
6,7 54
FORECAST
2,6 480
TIERCE
2,6,7 2,168
TRIO
2,6,7 354
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 1,190
QUARTET
2,6,7,4 23,039
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 449
1/6 93.5