跑馬地 · 2025-03-12 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-03-12跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米。由A Hamelin策騎、W K Mo訓練的HAPPY FAT CAT勝出，贏出N。KING OF FIGHTERS獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT JOLLY獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門KING OF FIGHTERS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT 1.08.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 4 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | KING OF FIGHTERS TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 1.8 | N |
| 3 | 11 | CIRCUIT JOLLY B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | EASON H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | PRINCE OF PORTY TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 69.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | KING ECCELLENTE B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SEASONS WIT B/TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 10 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | BLAZING WIND CP/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 9 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 16.5% | 6.06 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | CIRCUIT JOLLY | 13.6% | 7.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | EASON | 9.6% | 10.40 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 6.3% | 15.93 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 5.8% | 17.30 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | BLAZING WIND | 4.7% | 21.20 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.4% | 22.68 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART | 3.1% | 32.11 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | SEASONS WIT | 3.1% | 32.70 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 116
PLACE
6 11
7 25
11 21.5
QUINELLA
6,7 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 40
6,11 29.5
7,11 96.5
FORECAST
7,6 314
TIERCE
7,6,11 1,480
TRIO
6,7,11 139
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 204
QUARTET
7,6,11,2 7,897
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,10/6,7,11 2,924
6TH DOUBLE
10/6 55.5
10/7 1,107
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,6/7,9,10/6,7,11 77,954
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/7,9,10/Any Combination 1,558