Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT TT 1.08.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 4 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | KING OF FIGHTERS TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 1.8 | N |
| 3 | 11 | CIRCUIT JOLLY B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | EASON H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | PRINCE OF PORTY TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 69.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | KING ECCELLENTE B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SEASONS WIT B/TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 10 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | BLAZING WIND CP/TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 9 | 24.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 3 over 1200m. HAPPY FAT CAT, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with KING OF FIGHTERS second and CIRCUIT JOLLY third. The 1.8 favourite KING OF FIGHTERS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 16.5% | 6.06 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | CIRCUIT JOLLY | 13.6% | 7.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | EASON | 9.6% | 10.40 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 6.3% | 15.93 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 5.8% | 17.30 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | BLAZING WIND | 4.7% | 21.20 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | KING ECCELLENTE | 4.4% | 22.68 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | RUN RUN SMART | 3.1% | 32.11 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | SEASONS WIT | 3.1% | 32.70 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 116
PLACE
6 11
7 25
11 21.5
QUINELLA
6,7 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 40
6,11 29.5
7,11 96.5
FORECAST
7,6 314
TIERCE
7,6,11 1,480
TRIO
6,7,11 139
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 204
QUARTET
7,6,11,2 7,897
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,10/6,7,11 2,924
6TH DOUBLE
10/6 55.5
10/7 1,107
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,6/7,9,10/6,7,11 77,954
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/7,9,10/Any Combination 1,558