Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. GREAT SPIRIT, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C H Yip, won by N, with GAMEPLAYER ELITE second and MOTOMAN third. The 2.5 favourite CLUB ACE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GREAT SPIRIT CP 1.10.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 5.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 12 | 22.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | MOTOMAN PC/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 6 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | ICONICAL TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 1 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT XB/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | EXCEED THE WISH H L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 9 | 95.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FASHION LEGEND B-/XB-/TT- R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 5 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | CLUB ACE TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 2.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LUCKY GENERATIONS P/H2/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | RACINGRACE XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | RUN YES RUN B- M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 45.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | IRON LEGION B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 2 | 40.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CLUB ACE | 26.3% | 3.80 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | MOTOMAN | 16.1% | 6.20 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | GREAT SPIRIT | 12.7% | 7.88 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 9.2% | 10.93 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 7.6% | 13.14 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | FASHION LEGEND | 7.2% | 13.96 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | ICONICAL | 6.0% | 16.54 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | RACINGRACE | 4.8% | 21.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 4.0% | 25.31 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | RUN YES RUN | 2.6% | 38.37 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | EXCEED THE WISH | 2.3% | 43.00 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | IRON LEGION | 1.3% | 79.84 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 50
PLACE
2 25.5
3 54
7 18
QUINELLA
3,7 485
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 253
2,7 63.5
3,7 141.5
FORECAST
7,3 811
TIERCE
7,3,2 7,106
TRIO
2,3,7 1,369
FIRST 4
2,3,7,10 4,448
QUARTET
7,3,2,10 97,147
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,11/2,3,7 43,115
2ND DOUBLE
6/3 254
6/7 281.5