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Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 14:20

Race 8

Class 3 1200m Course A 11 runners

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 3 over 1200m. BEAUTY INFINITY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with LUCKY EIGHT second and SPORTS LEGEND third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 BEAUTY INFINITY 1.09.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size 5 3.2 1/2
2 4 LUCKY EIGHT C L Chau · P F Yiu 9 11.0 1/2
3 1 SPORTS LEGEND B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 6 7.8 1
4 10 YOUNG ARROW XB-/CP H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 8.0 1-1/2
5 6 SOLID CAR K Teetan · D J Hall 11 25.0 1-1/2
6 3 CHATEAUNEUF B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 2 4.3 1-1/2
7 11 POSITIVE SMILE M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 35.0 2-3/4
8 8 EVERSTAR CP1/TT- M F Poon · Y S Tsui 1 90.0 3
9 9 WRITTEN CASA B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 10 24.0 5-1/2
10 7 MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 54.0 6-1/2
11 2 CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 3 5.3 8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY INFINITY2. LUCKY EIGHT+0.5L3. SPORTS LEGEND+1L4. YOUNG ARROW+1.5L5. SOLID CAR+1.5L6. CHATEAUNEUF+1.5L7. POSITIVE SMILE+2.75L8. EVERSTAR+3L9. WRITTEN CASA+5.5L10. MULTIDUTCH+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BEAUTY INFINITY (30.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 BEAUTY INFINITY 30.1% 3.32 1
2 10 YOUNG ARROW 14.4% 6.95 4
3 2 CALIFORNIA TOUCH 12.1% 8.26 11
4 3 CHATEAUNEUF 10.8% 9.25 6
5 1 SPORTS LEGEND 9.2% 10.88 3
6 11 POSITIVE SMILE 7.4% 13.44 7
7 4 LUCKY EIGHT 5.9% 17.01 2
8 9 WRITTEN CASA 4.3% 23.16 9
9 6 SOLID CAR 3.6% 27.89 5
10 7 MULTIDUTCH 1.3% 77.32 10
11 8 EVERSTAR 0.9% 116.56 8
BEAUTY INFINITY — wonYOUNG ARROWCALIFORNIA TOUCHCHATEAUNEUFSPORTS LEGENDPOSITIVE SMILELUCKY EIGHTWRITTEN CASASOLID CARMULTIDUTCHEVERSTAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 32

PLACE

1 27.5

4 29

5 12.5

QUINELLA

4,5 166

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 130.5

1,5 49

4,5 55

FORECAST

5,4 271

TIERCE

5,4,1 1,946

TRIO

1,4,5 366

FIRST 4

1,4,5,10 620

QUARTET

5,4,1,10 11,746

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

7/4 315.5

7/5 528.5