Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 4 over 1650m. HIGHLAND RAHY, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with VIVA GRACIOUSNESS second and THESIS third. The winner led throughout. The 4.7 favourite VIVA GRACIOUSNESS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HIGHLAND RAHY Wire to wire B/TT 1.39.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | THESIS Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · Y S Tsui | A Atzeni | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | FIREFOOT TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 6 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 6.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | THE AZURE Closed strongly L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 5.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SMART CITY Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CONFRINGO Closed strongly V/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 8 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | CELESTIAL HARMONY CP1 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER TREASURE CP-/B1 Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 9 | 80.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | THE WAY WE WIN Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · J Richards | E C W Wong | J Richards | 12 | 130.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 10 | INTREPID WINNER B D McDonogh · C W Chang | D McDonogh | C W Chang | 2 | 38.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 23.1% | 4.32 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | THE AZURE | 17.4% | 5.76 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | THESIS | 13.9% | 7.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | SMART CITY | 12.9% | 7.77 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | AMAZING AWARD | 11.7% | 8.54 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | CONFRINGO | 7.7% | 12.96 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 6.8% | 14.77 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | FIREFOOT | 4.7% | 21.25 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER TREASURE | 0.7% | 149.34 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | THE WAY WE WIN | 0.6% | 167.59 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 0.5% | 186.03 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 61
PLACE
1 18
2 20
6 28
QUINELLA
1,6 175
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 46
1,6 71
2,6 71
FORECAST
6,1 451
TIERCE
6,1,2 1,821
TRIO
1,2,6 318
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 1,293
QUARTET
6,1,2,7 26,556
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/1/1 386
7/1/6 3,121
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,12/1,2,6 29,359
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 49.5
1/6 567.5