Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. FIND MY LOVE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with NEBRASKAN second and TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR third. Victory came as the 4.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE B/TT- 1.09.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | NEBRASKAN B1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BOWSER TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | NEW POWER M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP CP1/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 43.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GLORY CLOUD TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 6 | 6.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | TELECOM DRAGON CP1/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | KA YING POWER H/SR L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 3 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | CHILL MASTER TT J Orman · K L Man | J Orman | K L Man | 4 | 99.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE B-/CP1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 128.0 | 20 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BOWSER | 23.9% | 4.18 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE | 12.5% | 7.99 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 12.1% | 8.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | TELECOM DRAGON | 11.5% | 8.70 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | GLORY CLOUD | 10.1% | 9.92 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | NEW POWER | 8.8% | 11.33 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | KA YING POWER | 7.3% | 13.71 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 5.0% | 19.96 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | NEBRASKAN | 4.7% | 21.37 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 3.0% | 33.66 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | CHILL MASTER | 0.6% | 156.64 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE | 0.5% | 211.46 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 46.5
PLACE
1 20.5
7 49.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
1,7 467.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 160
1,12 77.5
7,12 204.5
FORECAST
1,7 780
TIERCE
1,7,12 5,289
TRIO
1,7,12 1,201
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 1,341
QUARTET
1,7,12,2 33,360
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 497.5
7/7 190.5