Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. TACTICAL COMMAND, ridden by A Badel and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with GLORY B second and MR COOL third. The 2.1 favourite MR COOL finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND B 1.09.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 2 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | GLORY B CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | MR COOL TT1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | E UNIVERSE TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 1 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | GIANT LEAP B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 3 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | VON BAER B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 6 | 52.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 10 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | RUN RUN TIMING B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 6.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | KARATE EXPRESS J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 4 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SPICY SO SMART V/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 39.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | KING ALLOY R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 12 | 83.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CHAMPION METHOD B2/TT- A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 8 | 30.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 17.3% | 5.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | MR COOL | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 13.8% | 7.24 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | E UNIVERSE | 10.6% | 9.45 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | GLORY B | 8.7% | 11.45 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | RUN RUN TIMING | 7.3% | 13.62 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | GIANT LEAP | 6.9% | 14.53 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | CHAMPION METHOD | 6.3% | 15.81 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | SPICY SO SMART | 5.5% | 18.12 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | KARATE EXPRESS | 5.4% | 18.65 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | KING ALLOY | 3.0% | 32.95 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | VON BAER | 0.9% | 109.10 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 125.5
PLACE
7 12
9 29.5
10 25.5
QUINELLA
9,10 324
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 57.5
7,10 50
9,10 85
FORECAST
10,9 613
TIERCE
10,9,7 2,421
TRIO
7,9,10 279
FIRST 4
7,8,9,10 509
QUARTET
10,9,7,8 16,697
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
6/9 126
6/10 870