Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOOD LUCK WIN Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 11 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly B/XB B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 8 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | JOLLY RULER Closed strongly TT R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | MIDORI FUJI CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 3 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SATIRICAL FAN Led early CP-/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 10 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | POCHETTINO H/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | FOREVER GLORIOUS V/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 1 | 9.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 12 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | SNOWALOT CP J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 4 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | TO INFINITY B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 5 | 47.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | LUCKY COMBINATION B-/V1/XB1/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 2 | 65.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 4 over 1650m. GOOD LUCK WIN, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by K H Ting, won by 2-1/4, with COURIER MAGIC second and JOLLY RULER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite COURIER MAGIC finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 14.8% | 6.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | COURIER MAGIC | 14.5% | 6.92 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | SNOWALOT | 14.3% | 6.98 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | JOLLY RULER | 10.7% | 9.34 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | MIDORI FUJI | 8.1% | 12.42 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 7.8% | 12.86 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | POCHETTINO | 7.4% | 13.48 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 7.2% | 13.89 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 6.6% | 15.08 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | SATIRICAL FAN | 3.9% | 25.42 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 3.9% | 25.95 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | LUCKY COMBINATION | 0.9% | 115.18 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 56
PLACE
5 26
6 19.5
11 16.5
QUINELLA
6,11 120
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 72
5,11 56.5
6,11 45.5
FORECAST
6,11 264
TIERCE
6,11,5 1,845
TRIO
5,6,11 327
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 489
QUARTET
6,11,5,3 10,688
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/6 331
1/11 53