Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 5 over 1000m. CRYSTAL POWERFUL, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by W K Mo, won by HD, with DIAMOND SOARS second and EVER SMART third. The 3.7 favourite ACE TALENT finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT 0.56.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 3 | 9.0 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | DIAMOND SOARS B/TT B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | EVER SMART TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 6.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ACE TALENT P-/PC2/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TIMESTORM V/TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | DAY DAY VICTORY L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE V-/B2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 2 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | SO TREASURE CP2 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LIFE OF STONE B-/PC1 K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 48.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ACE TALENT | 31.1% | 3.22 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | EVER SMART | 16.9% | 5.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 9.5% | 10.51 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 7.1% | 14.03 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | HAPPY HORSE | 6.4% | 15.70 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | SO TREASURE | 6.3% | 15.81 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 6.1% | 16.27 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | DIAMOND SOARS | 5.7% | 17.57 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | TIMESTORM | 4.0% | 25.12 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 3.4% | 29.22 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE | 2.4% | 41.59 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | LIFE OF STONE | 1.0% | 100.49 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 90.5
PLACE
1 28
7 18
11 40
QUINELLA
1,11 569
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 84
1,11 186.5
7,11 112
FORECAST
1,11 1,146
TIERCE
1,11,7 5,665
TRIO
1,7,11 975
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 1,557
QUARTET
1,11,7,12 35,148