Happy Valley · 2025-03-12 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-03-12 was Class 3 over 1800m. BEAUTY ALLIANCE, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 3-1/2, with FALLON second and NORTHERN BEAST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly 1.49.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 2.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST Led early V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 11 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | STAR MAC Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 7 | 6.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly XB/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 8 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 3 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | HAMERON R Kingscote · K W Lui | R Kingscote | K W Lui | 1 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | ALLCASH CP/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 2 | 50.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SIMPLY MAVERICK V- D McDonogh · P F Yiu | D McDonogh | P F Yiu | 5 | 56.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | TALENTS AMBITION B/XB A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 26.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 27.9% | 3.58 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | CHARITY GAIN | 20.6% | 4.86 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | STAR MAC | 8.4% | 11.88 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 8.0% | 12.52 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING STEPS | 7.5% | 13.41 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST | 6.4% | 15.56 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | FALLON | 5.6% | 17.81 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | TALENTS AMBITION | 4.6% | 21.56 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | HAMERON | 4.3% | 23.07 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND | 4.0% | 25.11 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 1.9% | 52.11 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | ALLCASH | 0.7% | 137.35 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 21
PLACE
6 21.5
10 11.5
11 53
QUINELLA
6,10 94
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 39.5
6,11 254
10,11 105.5
FORECAST
10,6 154
TIERCE
10,6,11 2,271
TRIO
6,10,11 622
FIRST 4
6,9,10,11 2,714
QUARTET
10,6,11,9 32,732
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
7/5/6 626
7/5/10 1,057
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/6,10,11 29,189
8TH DOUBLE
5/6 64
5/10 77.5
SIX UP
1/6/10/7/5/10 593,606
1,7/1,6/9,10/6,7/4,5/6,10 4,513
6 [A Badel] —
1 [J Size] —