跑馬地 · 2025-04-02 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-04-02跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、K L Man訓練的DRAGON FOUR SEAS勝出，贏出1/2。NEW POWER獲得亞軍；FAIRY HORSE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS B 1.09.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 6 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | NEW POWER M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 7.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | FAIRY HORSE SB/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | MEGA BONUS V R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SHINKANSEN H-/CP/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | STAR BROSE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | ACCOLADE START B-/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 3 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SHOTGUN XB- L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 57.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPY PARK XB Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 2 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SAVVY TWINKLE XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 9 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | MOTOMAN PC/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 31.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ISLAND BUDDY A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 26.5% | 3.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | STAR BROSE | 15.5% | 6.44 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY PARK | 11.0% | 9.13 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | MEGA BONUS | 10.5% | 9.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | NEW POWER | 8.1% | 12.41 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | FAIRY HORSE | 6.6% | 15.18 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | PRIME MORTAR | 5.8% | 17.30 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | MOTOMAN | 5.0% | 19.89 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | ACCOLADE START | 3.4% | 29.03 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 2.8% | 35.40 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | SHOTGUN | 2.5% | 40.04 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | SHINKANSEN | 2.3% | 44.11 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 32
PLACE
1 14
9 22
11 39
QUINELLA
1,9 129
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 50
1,11 67
9,11 131
FORECAST
1,9 243
TIERCE
1,9,11 1,777
TRIO
1,9,11 433
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 772
QUARTET
1,9,11,5 12,773
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,11/1,9,11 70,553
6TH DOUBLE
7/1 317
7/9 91
TRIPLE TRIO
1,8,11/7,8,11/1,9,11 5,041,424
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,11/7,8,11/Any Combination 9,565