跑馬地 · 2025-04-23 · 11:45
第 3場
2025-04-23跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Hamelin策騎、P F Yiu訓練的JOLLY RULER勝出，贏出1-1/4。TELECOM POWER獲得亞軍；FORTUNE WHISKEY獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門TELECOM POWER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JOLLY RULER TT 1.09.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | TELECOM POWER B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 2 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | TOP PEAK TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT J Orman · A S Cruz | J Orman | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | SWAGGER BRO B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | VICTOR THE RAPID XB/B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 105.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 5 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | WISEMAN TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 58.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GROOVY FEELING B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 10 | 56.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | COSMIC SPURS B/TT M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 4 | 113.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 24.0% | 4.17 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | SWAGGER BRO | 17.9% | 5.59 | 7 |
| 3 | 12 | TELECOM POWER | 17.5% | 5.70 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 7.9% | 12.73 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | TOP PEAK | 7.8% | 12.74 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | JOLLY RULER | 5.4% | 18.56 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR | 5.0% | 20.12 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | SUNNY DARLING | 4.4% | 22.48 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | GROOVY FEELING | 4.3% | 23.26 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | WISEMAN | 3.3% | 30.02 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 1.5% | 66.94 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | COSMIC SPURS | 1.0% | 100.96 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 79.5
PLACE
1 18.5
5 25.5
12 15.5
QUINELLA
5,12 155.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 70
1,12 37.5
5,12 55
FORECAST
5,12 397
TIERCE
5,12,1 1,715
TRIO
1,5,12 297
FIRST 4
1,5,7,12 273
QUARTET
5,12,1,7 8,430
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
9,10,12/1,5,12 107,606
2ND DOUBLE
10/5 767.5
10/12 74