跑馬地 · 2025-04-23 · 12:45
第 5場
2025-04-23跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY CAP勝出，贏出N。BIENVENUE獲得亞軍；NEW POWER獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門FLYING WROTE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SKY CAP XB-/TT 1.09.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 29.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | BIENVENUE B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 9 | NEW POWER A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 10 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | JUMBO TREASURE CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FLYING WROTE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | RISING PHOENIX B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | DRACO CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | JUDY'S GREAT TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 3 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | BIG STRIDE H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 9 | 61.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | VIEW ALL THINGS M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MAGIC BEANS TT J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 12 | 164.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MAGNIAC V/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 11 | 60.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING WROTE | 24.2% | 4.13 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | BIENVENUE | 16.0% | 6.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | JUMBO TREASURE | 13.3% | 7.54 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | DRACO | 12.0% | 8.31 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | RISING PHOENIX | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | NEW POWER | 6.5% | 15.36 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 6.1% | 16.32 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | JUDY'S GREAT | 5.8% | 17.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | SKY CAP | 2.8% | 35.18 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | BIG STRIDE | 2.3% | 42.91 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | MAGNIAC | 2.3% | 43.00 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | MAGIC BEANS | 0.7% | 146.78 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 299
PLACE
4 62.5
9 25.5
10 21.5
QUINELLA
4,10 763
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 297
4,10 218
9,10 74.5
FORECAST
4,10 1,905
TIERCE
4,10,9 14,913
TRIO
4,9,10 1,823
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 1,481
QUARTET
4,10,9,1 59,555
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/7/4 10,672
5/7/10 287
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,10/4,9,10 229,328
4TH DOUBLE
7/4 1,065
7/10 42.5