Happy Valley · 2025-04-23 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-23 was Class 4 over 1200m. SKY CAP, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with BIENVENUE second and NEW POWER third. The 3.6 favourite FLYING WROTE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SKY CAP XB-/TT 1.09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 29.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | BIENVENUE B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 9 | NEW POWER A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 10 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | JUMBO TREASURE CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FLYING WROTE H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | RISING PHOENIX B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | DRACO CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | JUDY'S GREAT TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 3 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | BIG STRIDE H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 9 | 61.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | VIEW ALL THINGS M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | MAGIC BEANS TT J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 12 | 164.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MAGNIAC V/TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 11 | 60.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING WROTE | 24.2% | 4.13 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | BIENVENUE | 16.0% | 6.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | JUMBO TREASURE | 13.3% | 7.54 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | DRACO | 12.0% | 8.31 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | RISING PHOENIX | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | NEW POWER | 6.5% | 15.36 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 6.1% | 16.32 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | JUDY'S GREAT | 5.8% | 17.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | SKY CAP | 2.8% | 35.18 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | BIG STRIDE | 2.3% | 42.91 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | MAGNIAC | 2.3% | 43.00 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | MAGIC BEANS | 0.7% | 146.78 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 299
PLACE
4 62.5
9 25.5
10 21.5
QUINELLA
4,10 763
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 297
4,10 218
9,10 74.5
FORECAST
4,10 1,905
TIERCE
4,10,9 14,913
TRIO
4,9,10 1,823
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 1,481
QUARTET
4,10,9,1 59,555
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/7/4 10,672
5/7/10 287
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,10/4,9,10 229,328
4TH DOUBLE
7/4 1,065
7/10 42.5