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Happy Valley · 2025-04-23 · 13:50

Race 7

Class 3 1200m Course C 10 runners

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-23 was Class 3 over 1200m. POWER KOEPP, ridden by A Badel and trained by M Newnham, won by SH, with LUCKY EIGHT second and KING OF FIGHTERS third. The 2.5 favourite KING OF FIGHTERS finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 POWER KOEPP 1.09.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · M Newnham 2 4.5 SH
2 4 LUCKY EIGHT M F Poon · P F Yiu 8 8.6 SH
3 5 KING OF FIGHTERS TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 3 2.5 1/2
4 7 NORDIC DRAGON TT A Hamelin · C S Shum 9 13.0 3/4
5 3 BEAUTY INFINITY B Avdulla · J Size 4 10.0 1-1/2
6 8 FIND MY LOVE B M Chadwick · D J Whyte 7 17.0 1-3/4
7 1 SUGAR SUGAR B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 6 10.0 2-1/4
8 2 HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 5 17.0 3-1/2
9 10 CONSPIRATOR H/XB/P1 L Hewitson · M Newnham 10 106.0 6-3/4
10 9 WATCH THIS ONE CP/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 1 11.0 15

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. POWER KOEPP2. LUCKY EIGHT+0.1L3. KING OF FIGHTERS+0.5L4. NORDIC DRAGON+0.75L5. BEAUTY INFINITY+1.5L6. FIND MY LOVE+1.75L7. SUGAR SUGAR+2.25L8. HARMONY N BLESSED+3.5L9. CONSPIRATOR+6.75L10. WATCH THIS ONE+15L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick POWER KOEPP (30.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 POWER KOEPP 30.5% 3.28 1
2 5 KING OF FIGHTERS 26.9% 3.71 3
3 3 BEAUTY INFINITY 12.7% 7.86 5
4 9 WATCH THIS ONE 8.1% 12.28 10
5 7 NORDIC DRAGON 6.8% 14.67 4
6 1 SUGAR SUGAR 5.2% 19.16 7
7 4 LUCKY EIGHT 3.6% 28.10 2
8 2 HARMONY N BLESSED 3.4% 29.32 8
9 8 FIND MY LOVE 2.1% 47.86 6
10 10 CONSPIRATOR 0.7% 152.70 9
POWER KOEPP — wonKING OF FIGHTERSBEAUTY INFINITYWATCH THIS ONENORDIC DRAGONSUGAR SUGARLUCKY EIGHTHARMONY N BLESSEDFIND MY LOVECONSPIRATOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 45

PLACE

4 24

5 12

6 17

QUINELLA

4,6 154

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 50

4,6 57

5,6 27

FORECAST

6,4 333

TIERCE

6,4,5 1,154

TRIO

4,5,6 154

FIRST 4

4,5,6,7 282

QUARTET

6,4,5,7 6,940

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,3/4,5,6 16,492

6TH DOUBLE

1/4 392

1/6 1,593.5

TRIPLE TRIO

4,9,10/1,2,3/4,5,6 1,499,666

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,9,10/1,2,3/Any Combination 29,993