Happy Valley · 2025-04-23 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-23 was Class 5 over 1200m. WINNING HEART, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with MULTIDARLING second and GIMME FIVE third. The 2.8 favourite GIMME FIVE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING HEART B/TT 1.09.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | MULTIDARLING CP2/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 3 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | GIMME FIVE B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 2.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | HOSS B/XB/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE B-/V2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | LUCKY GENERATIONS H/P/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS CP/XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 9 | 82.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SPEEDY FORTUNE P-/CP2/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 6 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | JOYFUL LIFE XB1/B2/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | GLORIOUS EXPERT P L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ISLAND GOLDEN B-/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 1 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | WINNING TURN PC-/XB1/B2/TT- K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 2 | 48.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GIMME FIVE | 20.9% | 4.78 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | HOSS | 17.5% | 5.71 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 11.3% | 8.84 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | JOYFUL LIFE | 8.2% | 12.21 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 8.2% | 12.21 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 7.8% | 12.77 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | MULTIDARLING | 7.7% | 12.93 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | WINNING HEART | 5.2% | 19.17 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | WINNING TURN | 4.3% | 23.19 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 3.9% | 25.85 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE | 2.8% | 35.73 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 2.1% | 46.82 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 112
PLACE
1 13
10 34
12 18
QUINELLA
10,12 305
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 84.5
1,12 43.5
10,12 100
FORECAST
10,12 744
TIERCE
10,12,1 3,326
TRIO
1,10,12 388
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 520
QUARTET
10,12,1,8 19,263