Happy Valley · 2025-04-23 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-23 was Class 4 over 1000m. SUPER SIXTY, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with SAVVY TWINKLE second and VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE third. The 3.1 favourite PLENTIFUL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER SIXTY H/P 0.57.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | SAVVY TWINKLE XB/CP1/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE H/P/TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 6 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | PLENTIFUL XB/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | ALL'S WELL H/TT B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 3 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | SIGHT HAPPY CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY BOYS H-/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 146.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | BOOMBAYAH H-/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 51.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SPICY KNUCKLES CP/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 5 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | THUNDER PRINCE E/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 9 | 9.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 25.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PLENTIFUL | 29.2% | 3.43 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | SUPER SIXTY | 18.2% | 5.51 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SIGHT HAPPY | 15.5% | 6.43 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | THUNDER PRINCE | 10.3% | 9.71 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | ALL'S WELL | 8.5% | 11.81 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 4.2% | 23.91 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED | 4.1% | 24.48 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 3.7% | 27.18 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | VICTORYTHIRTYTHREE | 2.3% | 42.90 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 1.6% | 61.85 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | BOOMBAYAH | 1.3% | 78.98 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | HAPPY BOYS | 1.2% | 83.76 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 38
PLACE
7 15.5
9 48.5
10 40
QUINELLA
7,10 234.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 103
7,10 80
9,10 279.5
FORECAST
7,10 425
TIERCE
7,10,9 4,619
TRIO
7,9,10 1,234
FIRST 4
5,7,9,10 629
QUARTET
7,10,9,5 22,354
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
5/7 439.5
5/10 517