Happy Valley · 2025-04-23 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-23 was Class 3 over 1000m. HORSEPOWER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with SEASONS WIT second and PARENTS' LOVE third. The 3.1 favourite YOUTHFUL SPIRITS finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HORSEPOWER XB/TT 0.56.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SEASONS WIT B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 8 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 6 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | CELESTIAL COLOURS V/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 3 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 7 | 6.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SPARKLING FELLOW B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | CASA OF HONOR XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | STAR PERFORMER K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 11 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | VIEW OF THE WORLD TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 3.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | BASIC INSTINCT B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 125.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 23.0% | 4.35 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | HORSEPOWER | 16.7% | 5.98 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | CASA OF HONOR | 10.8% | 9.27 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 10.0% | 10.00 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | SPORTS LEGEND | 8.9% | 11.29 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | PARENTS' LOVE | 8.2% | 12.26 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 5.7% | 17.50 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | STAR PERFORMER | 4.9% | 20.45 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 4.5% | 22.03 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SEASONS WIT | 3.7% | 27.00 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | VIEW OF THE WORLD | 3.0% | 33.28 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | BASIC INSTINCT | 0.6% | 157.31 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 61
PLACE
1 23
8 41
12 29.5
QUINELLA
1,8 527.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 168.5
1,12 99.5
8,12 199.5
FORECAST
1,8 1,095
TIERCE
1,8,12 9,352
TRIO
1,8,12 1,623
FIRST 4
1,5,8,12 5,634
QUARTET
1,8,12,5 103,740
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
6/1 319.5
6/8 127.5