Happy Valley · 2025-04-23 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | LEAN HERO Closed strongly B/XB/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 12 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER Closed strongly B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly XB/CP1/TT L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 2 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 7 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 9 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCK IS BACK Led early CP1/TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 4 | 88.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | TURIN MASCOT PC/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST V K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 10 | 35.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-23 was Class 3 over 1800m. FALLON, ridden by B Thompson and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with EXCELLENCE VALUE second and LEAN HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite BEAUTY ALLIANCE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 24.2% | 4.13 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 14.1% | 7.08 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 12.2% | 8.22 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | TURIN MASCOT | 10.8% | 9.27 | 11 |
| 5 | 8 | CHARITY GAIN | 9.9% | 10.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | FALLON | 8.2% | 12.22 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | JUMBO LEGEND | 4.5% | 22.15 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 4.2% | 23.53 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | LEAN HERO | 4.0% | 24.80 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST | 3.6% | 27.99 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER | 2.5% | 40.62 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | LUCK IS BACK | 1.8% | 56.60 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 43
PLACE
4 16
7 24
10 54.5
QUINELLA
4,7 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 53.5
4,10 165
7,10 227.5
FORECAST
4,7 284
TIERCE
4,7,10 4,819
TRIO
4,7,10 1,122
FIRST 4
3,4,7,10 740
QUARTET
4,7,10,3 21,717
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/1/4 998
6/1/7 250
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,12/4,7,10 174,431
8TH DOUBLE
1/4 290.5
1/7 46.5
SIX UP
7,10/4,10/1,3/4,6/1,8/4,7 82,898
6 [A Badel] —
1 [A S Cruz] —