Happy Valley · 2025-04-23 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-23 was Class 4 over 1650m. HAPPY DAILY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with MIDORI FUJI second and SKY VINO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SKY VINO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT 1.39.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 32.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | MIDORI FUJI Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | SKY VINO Led early TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SMART CITY Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR V/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | FIREFOOT TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 7 | 52.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | COURIER MAGIC B/XB A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 4.2 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | ACE WAR J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE B-/CP2/TT1 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 6 | 115.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | CONFRINGO V/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 12 | 43.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | COURIER MAGIC | 20.5% | 4.88 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 19.8% | 5.05 | 9 |
| 3 | 5 | FIREFOOT | 14.5% | 6.89 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | SKY VINO | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | SMART CITY | 6.6% | 15.14 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR | 6.5% | 15.34 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | MIDORI FUJI | 5.1% | 19.46 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | CONFRINGO | 3.7% | 26.76 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | ACE WAR | 3.6% | 27.59 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 2.9% | 35.07 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | TO INFINITY | 1.7% | 59.02 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 0.8% | 118.30 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 327
PLACE
1 76.5
2 13.5
3 45
QUINELLA
1,3 1,619.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 165.5
1,3 395
2,3 98.5
FORECAST
1,3 3,261
TIERCE
1,3,2 7,285
TRIO
1,2,3 817
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 3,717
QUARTET
1,3,2,6 127,702
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 5,734
4/3 336