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Happy Valley · 2025-04-23 · 21:11

Race 6

Class 4 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT 1.39.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · C H Yip 9 32.0 SH
2 3 MIDORI FUJI Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 11 13.0 SH
3 2 SKY VINO Led early TT H Bowman · C Fownes 10 3.4 1-1/2
4 6 SMART CITY Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 4 12.0 2-1/4
5 12 SMILING EMPEROR V/XB H Bentley · K H Ting 3 11.0 3
6 5 FIREFOOT TT Z Purton · W Y So 8 6.5 3-1/4
7 9 TO INFINITY Closed strongly K C Leung · J Richards 7 52.0 3-3/4
8 11 COURIER MAGIC B/XB A Badel · K L Man 5 4.2 4
9 7 WAH MAY WAI WAI Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 7.6 5-1/2
10 4 ACE WAR J Orman · D J Whyte 1 12.0 6-3/4
11 8 ORIENTAL SURPRISE B-/CP2/TT1 B Thompson · D A Hayes 6 115.0 9
12 10 CONFRINGO V/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 12 43.0 10-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-04-23 was Class 4 over 1650m. HAPPY DAILY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with MIDORI FUJI second and SKY VINO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SKY VINO finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY DAILY—2. MIDORI FUJI+0.1L3. SKY VINO+1.5L4. SMART CITY+2.25L5. SMILING EMPEROR+3L6. FIREFOOT+3.25L7. TO INFINITY+3.75L8. COURIER MAGIC+4L9. WAH MAY WAI WAI+5.5L10. ACE WAR+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick COURIER MAGIC (20.5%) finished 8th — the winner HAPPY DAILY was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 COURIER MAGIC 20.5% 4.88 8
2 7 WAH MAY WAI WAI 19.8% 5.05 9
3 5 FIREFOOT 14.5% 6.89 6
4 2 SKY VINO 14.2% 7.04 3
5 6 SMART CITY 6.6% 15.14 4
6 12 SMILING EMPEROR 6.5% 15.34 5
7 3 MIDORI FUJI 5.1% 19.46 2
8 10 CONFRINGO 3.7% 26.76 12
9 4 ACE WAR 3.6% 27.59 10
10 1 HAPPY DAILY 2.9% 35.07 1
11 9 TO INFINITY 1.7% 59.02 7
12 8 ORIENTAL SURPRISE 0.8% 118.30 11
COURIER MAGICWAH MAY WAI WAIFIREFOOTSKY VINOSMART CITYSMILING EMPERORMIDORI FUJICONFRINGOACE WARHAPPY DAILY — wonTO INFINITYORIENTAL SURPRISE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 327

PLACE

1 76.5

2 13.5

3 45

QUINELLA

1,3 1,619.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 165.5

1,3 395

2,3 98.5

FORECAST

1,3 3,261

TIERCE

1,3,2 7,285

TRIO

1,2,3 817

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 3,717

QUARTET

1,3,2,6 127,702

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/1 5,734

4/3 336