沙田 · 2025-04-27 · 06:55
第 5場
2025-04-27沙田第5場，Group 1，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KA YING RISING勝出，贏出2-1/4。SATONO REVE獲得亞軍；HELIOS EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬以1.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING 1.07.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 1.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | SATONO REVE J Moreira · N Hori | J Moreira | N Hori | 6 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 156.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | LUGAL Y Kawada · H Sugiyama | Y Kawada | H Sugiyama | 8 | 116.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE J McDonald · K L Man | J McDonald | K L Man | 7 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | MAGIC CONTROL P-/TT C Soumillon · W K Mo | C Soumillon | W K Mo | 11 | 197.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 12 | 200.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER XB-/B1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 10 | 98.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTY WAVES E/P/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 117.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 5 | 59.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | A SHIN FENCER H C Williams · K Yoshimura | C Williams | K Yoshimura | 1 | 73.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | DANON MCKINLEY H D Lane · H Fujiwara | D Lane | H Fujiwara | 2 | 94.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING | 58.3% | 1.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 11.9% | 8.43 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 10.7% | 9.35 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | SATONO REVE | 5.5% | 18.10 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 2.7% | 36.64 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | BEAUTY WAVES | 2.6% | 38.39 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | A SHIN FENCER | 1.8% | 56.39 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | DANON MCKINLEY | 1.5% | 68.94 | 13 |
| 9 | 8 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 1.2% | 80.74 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | MAGIC CONTROL | 1.2% | 83.25 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 1.0% | 101.94 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 0.9% | 105.33 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | LUGAL | 0.7% | 146.05 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 10.5
PLACE
1 10.1
2 14.5
6 23
QUINELLA
1,2 23.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 14
1,6 21.5
2,6 58.5
FORECAST
1,2 29
TIERCE
1,2,6 85
TRIO
1,2,6 51
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 832
QUARTET
1,2,6,8 2,910
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
9/6/1 353
9/6/2 450
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 36.5
6/2 69.5