沙田 · 2025-04-27 · 10:15
第 10場
2025-04-27沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的EVERYONE'S STAR勝出，贏出3/4。BEAUTY GLORY獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門HAROLD WIN跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | EVERYONE'S STAR 後段發力 1.21.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY 早段領放 CP/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | HAROLD WIN V/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 5 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SILVERY BREEZE 後段發力 B-/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 3 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 13 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | LOST CHILD 後段發力 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 31.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | STELLAR SWIFT 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 11 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPREME AGILITY 後段發力 TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 108.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CHARMING LEGEND J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 9 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | ANOTHER ZONDA B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 4 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ENDEARED XB C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | CHARMING BABE TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 55.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | IGOR STRAVINSKY B1/TT J Orman · A S Cruz | J Orman | A S Cruz | 10 | 65.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 14 | 119.0 | 18 |
| — | 0 | SILO H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | HAROLD WIN | 18.0% | 5.54 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 11.1% | 9.01 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | ENDEARED | 9.9% | 10.06 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | STELLAR SWIFT | 8.7% | 11.55 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | SILVERY BREEZE | 8.5% | 11.73 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | BEAUTY GLORY | 8.2% | 12.26 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 7.3% | 13.63 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 7.3% | 13.70 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | CHARMING LEGEND | 6.7% | 14.85 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | CHARMING BABE | 6.4% | 15.68 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | LOST CHILD | 3.8% | 25.99 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPREME AGILITY | 1.6% | 61.78 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 1.5% | 64.70 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 0.8% | 120.41 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 51.5
PLACE
10 20.5
12 31.5
14 14.5
QUINELLA
10,12 289
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 100
10,14 43
12,14 69.5
FORECAST
10,12 600
TIERCE
10,12,14 2,115
TRIO
10,12,14 364
FIRST 4
3,10,12,14 564
QUARTET
10,12,14,3 17,431
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
3/10/10 1,261
3/10/12 700
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/10,12,14 33,211
9TH DOUBLE
10/10 153.5
10/12 131
SIX UP
1,2/1,4/2,10/2,3/3,10/10,12 730
1/4/10/3/10/10 2,751,081
2 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —