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Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 10:15

Race 10

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Class 3 over 1400m. EVERYONE'S STAR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with BEAUTY GLORY second and HAROLD WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite HAROLD WIN finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.27
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 EVERYONE'S STAR Closed strongly 1.21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor 1 5.1 3/4
2 12 BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 2 9.6 3/4
3 14 HAROLD WIN V/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui 5 3.7 1
4 3 SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly B-/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 3 5.5 1-3/4
5 5 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung 13 14.0 3
6 13 LOST CHILD Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang 6 31.0 3
7 7 STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes 11 12.0 3-1/2
8 11 SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · P C Ng 7 108.0 3-1/2
9 1 CHARMING LEGEND J McDonald · C S Shum 9 11.0 3-3/4
10 9 ANOTHER ZONDA B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 4 25.0 4-1/4
11 4 ENDEARED XB C Williams · J Size 8 10.0 4-3/4
12 2 CHARMING BABE TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu 12 55.0 9-1/4
13 6 IGOR STRAVINSKY B1/TT J Orman · A S Cruz 10 65.0 10-1/2
14 8 UNIVERSAL HORIZON B L Hewitson · K W Lui 14 119.0 18
0 SILO H Bowman · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EVERYONE'S STAR2. BEAUTY GLORY+0.75L3. HAROLD WIN+1L4. SILVERY BREEZE+1.75L5. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+3L6. LOST CHILD+3L7. STELLAR SWIFT+3.5L8. SUPREME AGILITY+3.5L9. CHARMING LEGEND+3.75L10. ANOTHER ZONDA+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick HAROLD WIN (18.0%) finished 3rd — the winner EVERYONE'S STAR was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 14 HAROLD WIN 18.0% 5.54 3
2 10 EVERYONE'S STAR 11.1% 9.01 1
3 4 ENDEARED 9.9% 10.06 11
4 7 STELLAR SWIFT 8.7% 11.55 7
5 3 SILVERY BREEZE 8.5% 11.73 4
6 12 BEAUTY GLORY 8.2% 12.26 2
7 9 ANOTHER ZONDA 7.3% 13.63 10
8 5 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 7.3% 13.70 5
9 1 CHARMING LEGEND 6.7% 14.85 9
10 2 CHARMING BABE 6.4% 15.68 12
11 13 LOST CHILD 3.8% 25.99 6
12 11 SUPREME AGILITY 1.6% 61.78 8
13 8 UNIVERSAL HORIZON 1.5% 64.70 14
14 6 IGOR STRAVINSKY 0.8% 120.41 13
HAROLD WINEVERYONE'S STAR — wonENDEAREDSTELLAR SWIFTSILVERY BREEZEBEAUTY GLORYANOTHER ZONDAEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSCHARMING LEGENDCHARMING BABELOST CHILDSUPREME AGILITYUNIVERSAL HORIZONIGOR STRAVINSKY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 51.5

PLACE

10 20.5

12 31.5

14 14.5

QUINELLA

10,12 289

QUINELLA PLACE

10,12 100

10,14 43

12,14 69.5

FORECAST

10,12 600

TIERCE

10,12,14 2,115

TRIO

10,12,14 364

FIRST 4

3,10,12,14 564

QUARTET

10,12,14,3 17,431

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

3/10/10 1,261

3/10/12 700

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,10,11/10,12,14 33,211

9TH DOUBLE

10/10 153.5

10/12 131

SIX UP

1,2/1,4/2,10/2,3/3,10/10,12 730

1/4/10/3/10/10 2,751,081

2 [J Size]

1 [Z Purton]