Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 12:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YOUTH POWER Closed strongly B/TT 1.47.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B2 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 6 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | PING HAI COMET Closed strongly H A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 47.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 11 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GLUCK RACER B/H2 M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 2 | 70.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | VOLCANIC SPARK B J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | SMILING COLLECTOR CP/XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 5 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | NINJA DERBY Led early H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 43.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MATSU VICTOR B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 9 | 5.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Class 4 over 1800m. YOUTH POWER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with BEAUTY VIVA second and ORIENTAL SMOKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite BEAUTY VIVA finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 20.6% | 4.85 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 17.4% | 5.74 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | YOUTH POWER | 17.1% | 5.86 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | MATSU VICTOR | 12.5% | 8.00 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 8.1% | 12.35 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY VIVA | 7.9% | 12.59 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | KASA PAPA | 5.1% | 19.61 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | PING HAI COMET | 3.4% | 29.66 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | NINJA DERBY | 2.9% | 34.00 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 2.9% | 34.20 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | GLUCK RACER | 2.0% | 49.46 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 71.5
PLACE
2 16.5
3 16
9 25.5
QUINELLA
2,9 169
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 44.5
2,9 63.5
3,9 88
FORECAST
9,2 441
TIERCE
9,2,3 2,536
TRIO
2,3,9 384
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 2,683
QUARTET
9,2,3,10 54,839