Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 14:18
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD Closed strongly 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Williams · K W Lui | C Williams | K W Lui | 1 | 2.7 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | MARKWIN Closed strongly TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 2 | 4.4 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 10 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SWIFT ASCEND Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 5 | 27.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 29.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | DANCING CODE B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MID WINTER WIND CP1 J Moreira · M Newnham | J Moreira | M Newnham | 6 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly B/E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | DIVANO TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 5.1 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | TAJ DRAGON J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 8 | 29.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Class 2 over 1400m. INVINCIBLE SHIELD, ridden by C Williams and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with MARKWIN second and SOLEIL FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 22.1% | 4.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | DIVANO | 20.1% | 4.99 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 13.4% | 7.47 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 11.9% | 8.38 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | DANCING CODE | 9.8% | 10.23 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | MID WINTER WIND | 9.0% | 11.09 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | MARKWIN | 6.1% | 16.47 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | SWIFT ASCEND | 2.9% | 34.09 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | TAJ DRAGON | 2.8% | 35.57 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 1.9% | 53.89 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 27.5
PLACE
6 15
8 46
10 17
QUINELLA
6,10 86.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 109
6,10 34
8,10 129.5
FORECAST
6,10 151
TIERCE
6,10,8 1,593
TRIO
6,8,10 482
FIRST 4
6,8,9,10 1,747
QUARTET
6,10,8,9 20,821
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/6,8,10 11,160
3RD DOUBLE
9/6 407
9/10 138.5