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Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 06:20

Race 4

Class 2 1400m Course A 10 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Class 2 over 1400m. INVINCIBLE SHIELD, ridden by C Williams and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with MARKWIN second and SOLEIL FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.46
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 INVINCIBLE SHIELD Closed strongly 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Williams · K W Lui 1 2.7 SH
2 10 MARKWIN Closed strongly TT H Bentley · W K Mo 2 4.4 SH
3 8 SOLEIL FIGHTER XB A Atzeni · D A Hayes 10 18.0 1/2
4 9 SWIFT ASCEND Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 5 27.0 1-1/4
5 3 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 9 29.0 1-1/2
6 5 DANCING CODE B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 14.0 2-1/4
7 7 MID WINTER WIND CP1 J Moreira · M Newnham 6 15.0 3
8 4 YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly B/E B Avdulla · J Size 7 7.1 3-3/4
9 2 DIVANO TT Z Purton · K W Lui 3 5.1 4
10 1 TAJ DRAGON J McDonald · P C Ng 8 29.0 15-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. INVINCIBLE SHIELD2. MARKWIN+0.1L3. SOLEIL FIGHTER+0.5L4. SWIFT ASCEND+1.25L5. HEALTHY HAPPY+1.5L6. DANCING CODE+2.25L7. MID WINTER WIND+3L8. YOUNG CHAMPION+3.75L9. DIVANO+4L10. TAJ DRAGON+15.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick INVINCIBLE SHIELD (22.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 INVINCIBLE SHIELD 22.1% 4.52 1
2 2 DIVANO 20.1% 4.99 9
3 8 SOLEIL FIGHTER 13.4% 7.47 3
4 4 YOUNG CHAMPION 11.9% 8.38 8
5 5 DANCING CODE 9.8% 10.23 6
6 7 MID WINTER WIND 9.0% 11.09 7
7 10 MARKWIN 6.1% 16.47 2
8 9 SWIFT ASCEND 2.9% 34.09 4
9 1 TAJ DRAGON 2.8% 35.57 10
10 3 HEALTHY HAPPY 1.9% 53.89 5
INVINCIBLE SHIELD — wonDIVANOSOLEIL FIGHTERYOUNG CHAMPIONDANCING CODEMID WINTER WINDMARKWINSWIFT ASCENDTAJ DRAGONHEALTHY HAPPY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 27.5

PLACE

6 15

8 46

10 17

QUINELLA

6,10 86.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 109

6,10 34

8,10 129.5

FORECAST

6,10 151

TIERCE

6,10,8 1,593

TRIO

6,8,10 482

FIRST 4

6,8,9,10 1,747

QUARTET

6,10,8,9 20,821

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,9/6,8,10 11,160

3RD DOUBLE

9/6 407

9/10 138.5