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Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 05:20

Race 2

Class 4 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Class 4 over 1200m. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by J Richards, won by 2, with RAINBOW SEVEN second and LUCKY MY WAY third. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT 1.09.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · J Richards 2 4.1 2
2 10 RAINBOW SEVEN K C Leung · K W Lui 4 109.0 2
3 9 LUCKY MY WAY SR L Ferraris · K L Man 5 60.0 3-1/4
4 8 DIRIYA Z Purton · C H Yip 1 5.5 3-3/4
5 13 AMAZING GALAXY CP M F Poon · K H Ting 9 33.0 4
6 12 TIME TO FIRE B Avdulla · D J Hall 6 191.0 4-3/4
7 6 BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor 7 5.6 6-1/4
8 4 PATCH OF TIME L Hewitson · W K Mo 10 8.9 6-1/2
9 1 AEROINVINCIBLE PC-/TT J Orman · P C Ng 3 8.8 6-3/4
10 5 MATTERS MOST CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 8 63.0 7-1/2
11 11 RUNJEET XB H Bowman · D Eustace 12 14.0 7-3/4
12 2 PARTERRE B J Moreira · W Y So 13 15.0 8-1/2
13 7 BULLISH PRIDE H1/TT1 A Badel · A S Cruz 11 89.0 8-3/4
14 3 TOP THRONE CP K Teetan · D A Hayes 14 5.9 11

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY2. RAINBOW SEVEN+2L3. LUCKY MY WAY+3.25L4. DIRIYA+3.75L5. AMAZING GALAXY+4L6. TIME TO FIRE+4.75L7. BEAUTY MISSILE+6.25L8. PATCH OF TIME+6.5L9. AEROINVINCIBLE+6.75L10. MATTERS MOST+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BEAUTY MISSILE (20.4%) finished 7th — the winner GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 BEAUTY MISSILE 20.4% 4.90 7
2 3 TOP THRONE 15.3% 6.52 14
3 8 DIRIYA 13.7% 7.28 4
4 1 AEROINVINCIBLE 10.6% 9.42 9
5 11 RUNJEET 8.3% 12.10 11
6 14 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 6.9% 14.49 1
7 4 PATCH OF TIME 6.0% 16.75 8
8 7 BULLISH PRIDE 4.5% 22.39 13
9 2 PARTERRE 4.3% 23.35 12
10 10 RAINBOW SEVEN 3.3% 30.59 2
11 5 MATTERS MOST 2.6% 38.00 10
12 13 AMAZING GALAXY 2.4% 42.22 5
13 12 TIME TO FIRE 0.9% 112.87 6
14 9 LUCKY MY WAY 0.9% 116.89 3
BEAUTY MISSILETOP THRONEDIRIYAAEROINVINCIBLERUNJEETGOLDENTRONICMIGHTY — wonPATCH OF TIMEBULLISH PRIDEPARTERRERAINBOW SEVENMATTERS MOSTAMAZING GALAXYTIME TO FIRELUCKY MY WAY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 41.5

PLACE

9 132.5

10 254

14 14.5

QUINELLA

10,14 1,714

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 1,706.5

9,14 288

10,14 533

FORECAST

14,10 3,141

TIERCE

14,10,9 76,174

TRIO

9,10,14 28,676

FIRST 4

8,9,10,14 17,690

QUARTET

14,10,9,8 473,470

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

9/10 1,653

9/14 504

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,9/9,10,14 1,088,082