Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 05:50
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Class 4 over 1400m. PATCH OF STARS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by SH, with SUPER EXPRESS second and MONARCH COUNTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.5 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PATCH OF STARS Closed strongly TT 1.21.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 6.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly TT J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 11 | 1.5 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | RIDING TOGETHER Led early TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 5 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | DO YOUR PART XB1/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 12 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER LOVE Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ROMAN CROWN B/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 3 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT C Williams · W K Mo | C Williams | W K Mo | 10 | 42.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BLAZING BEAM SR/TT1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 75.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | GOLDEN DARCI XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | WIN SPEED B M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 34.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | PANDA LEGEND V/TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 2 | 77.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | DEVILDOM CP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 127.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 13 | 71.0 | 20 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER EXPRESS | 55.2% | 1.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | MONARCH COUNTY | 10.0% | 9.97 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | PATCH OF STARS | 7.6% | 13.09 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | GOLDEN DARCI | 3.7% | 26.92 | 10 |
| 5 | 4 | FORERUNNER | 3.3% | 29.91 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | MONTA FRUTTA | 3.2% | 31.74 | 14 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER LOVE | 3.1% | 32.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | ROMAN CROWN | 2.9% | 34.90 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | DO YOUR PART | 2.5% | 40.22 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | WIN SPEED | 2.4% | 41.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | RIDING TOGETHER | 2.1% | 46.98 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | BLAZING BEAM | 1.6% | 64.43 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | PANDA LEGEND | 1.4% | 73.71 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | DEVILDOM | 1.0% | 97.95 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 60
PLACE
1 10.1
5 24.5
9 18
QUINELLA
1,9 42
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 33.5
1,9 22.5
5,9 64
FORECAST
9,1 160
TIERCE
9,1,5 833
TRIO
1,5,9 94
FIRST 4
1,3,5,9 461
QUARTET
9,1,5,3 16,412
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
14/1 12
14/9 339