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Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 17:38

Race 9

Class 3 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.16
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 FAMILY JEWEL Closed strongly TT 1.34.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 6 3.0 1-3/4
2 3 HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K H Ting 10 20.0 1-3/4
3 11 MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly B/E C Williams · J Size 2 5.0 2
4 6 STAR MAC Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes 1 6.1 2-3/4
5 5 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT J Orman · W Y So 14 18.0 3-1/2
6 13 MORGAN SUCCESS Closed strongly XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 12 10.0 4
7 9 CHING Closed strongly B L Hewitson · C W Chang 11 25.0 4-3/4
8 12 FAST SPEED Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C S Shum 13 144.0 5-1/2
9 2 OUTGATE H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 8 46.0 5-3/4
10 4 SUPERB KID CP A Atzeni · K W Lui 3 46.0 6-3/4
11 8 TURIN STARSPANGLED TT K C Leung · P C Ng 7 17.0 7-3/4
12 14 GOOD LUCK BABE Led early XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 4 12.0 8-1/4
13 1 TOURBILLON PRINCE TT Z Purton · T P Yung 5 14.0 8-3/4
14 7 THE BEST PEACH CP2/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 9 42.0 11

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Class 3 over 1600m. FAMILY JEWEL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with HUGE WAVE second and MAGNIFICENT NINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAMILY JEWEL—2. HUGE WAVE+1.75L3. MAGNIFICENT NINE+2L4. STAR MAC+2.75L5. WINNING GOLD+3.5L6. MORGAN SUCCESS+4L7. CHING+4.75L8. FAST SPEED+5.5L9. OUTGATE+5.75L10. SUPERB KID+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FAMILY JEWEL (20.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 FAMILY JEWEL 20.9% 4.80 1
2 11 MAGNIFICENT NINE 15.9% 6.29 3
3 6 STAR MAC 14.3% 6.97 4
4 14 GOOD LUCK BABE 11.7% 8.57 12
5 1 TOURBILLON PRINCE 9.9% 10.14 13
6 3 HUGE WAVE 6.2% 16.21 2
7 4 SUPERB KID 3.4% 29.18 10
8 5 WINNING GOLD 3.3% 30.46 5
9 9 CHING 3.3% 30.52 7
10 8 TURIN STARSPANGLED 3.1% 32.05 11
11 13 MORGAN SUCCESS 2.9% 34.63 6
12 2 OUTGATE 2.5% 39.41 9
13 7 THE BEST PEACH 2.1% 47.22 14
14 12 FAST SPEED 0.6% 181.33 8
FAMILY JEWEL — wonMAGNIFICENT NINESTAR MACGOOD LUCK BABETOURBILLON PRINCEHUGE WAVESUPERB KIDWINNING GOLDCHINGTURIN STARSPANGLEDMORGAN SUCCESSOUTGATETHE BEST PEACHFAST SPEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 30.5

PLACE

3 58.5

10 16.5

11 18

QUINELLA

3,10 343

QUINELLA PLACE

3,10 121.5

3,11 156.5

10,11 40

FORECAST

10,3 573

TIERCE

10,3,11 3,374

TRIO

3,10,11 585

FIRST 4

3,6,10,11 756

QUARTET

10,3,11,6 15,288

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

3/3 151.5

3/10 204.5