Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 09:40
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Class 3 over 1600m. FAMILY JEWEL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with HUGE WAVE second and MAGNIFICENT NINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FAMILY JEWEL Closed strongly TT 1.34.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 10 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly B/E C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 2 | 5.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | STAR MAC Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 14 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | MORGAN SUCCESS Closed strongly XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | CHING Closed strongly B L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FAST SPEED Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 13 | 144.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | OUTGATE H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 46.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SUPERB KID CP A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 3 | 46.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TURIN STARSPANGLED TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | GOOD LUCK BABE Led early XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | THE BEST PEACH CP2/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 42.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FAMILY JEWEL | 20.9% | 4.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | STAR MAC | 14.3% | 6.97 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 11.7% | 8.57 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 9.9% | 10.14 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | HUGE WAVE | 6.2% | 16.21 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPERB KID | 3.4% | 29.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | WINNING GOLD | 3.3% | 30.46 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | CHING | 3.3% | 30.52 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | TURIN STARSPANGLED | 3.1% | 32.05 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 2.9% | 34.63 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | OUTGATE | 2.5% | 39.41 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | THE BEST PEACH | 2.1% | 47.22 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | FAST SPEED | 0.6% | 181.33 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 30.5
PLACE
3 58.5
10 16.5
11 18
QUINELLA
3,10 343
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 121.5
3,11 156.5
10,11 40
FORECAST
10,3 573
TIERCE
10,3,11 3,374
TRIO
3,10,11 585
FIRST 4
3,6,10,11 756
QUARTET
10,3,11,6 15,288
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
3/3 151.5
3/10 204.5