Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 08:05
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Group 1 over 1600m. RED LION, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by SH, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and SUNLIGHT POWER third. The winner led throughout. The 1.6 favourite VOYAGE BUBBLE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RED LION Wire to wire 1.33.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 90.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 10 | 1.6 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H C Soumillon · P F Yiu | C Soumillon | P F Yiu | 6 | 60.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 7.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly CP1/TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 73.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 70.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly B/XB J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 9 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | GAIA FORCE Y Kawada · H Sugiyama | Y Kawada | H Sugiyama | 13 | 47.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAUTY ETERNAL E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 142.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | GOEMON XB K Stott · H Shaheen | K Stott | H Shaheen | 8 | 175.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ROYAL PATRONAGE T Clark · W'House & Bott | T Clark | W'House & Bott | 3 | 34.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | MR BRIGHTSIDE V C Williams · B,W & JD Hayes | C Williams | B,W & JD Hayes | 2 | 5.6 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 42.3% | 2.37 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | MY WISH | 16.4% | 6.08 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | GALAXY PATCH | 8.4% | 11.84 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | MR BRIGHTSIDE | 4.9% | 20.28 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 4.1% | 24.13 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 4.0% | 24.98 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | ROYAL PATRONAGE | 3.8% | 26.10 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | GAIA FORCE | 3.0% | 33.77 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 2.8% | 35.10 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 2.8% | 35.48 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | GOEMON | 2.7% | 36.85 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | RED LION | 2.7% | 37.22 | 1 |
| 13 | 5 | BEAUTY JOY | 1.9% | 52.48 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 908
PLACE
2 10.5
10 117
13 91.5
QUINELLA
2,10 478.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 139.5
2,13 106.5
10,13 1,823
FORECAST
10,2 2,450
TIERCE
10,2,13 49,754
TRIO
2,10,13 4,347
FIRST 4
2,10,12,13 3,543
QUARTET
10,2,13,12 416,720
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/2 10.5
4/10 2,904.5