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Sha Tin · 2025-04-27 · 16:03

Race 7

Group 1 1600m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.21
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 RED LION Wire to wire 1.33.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size 12 90.0 SH
2 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP J McDonald · P F Yiu 10 1.6 SH
3 13 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H C Soumillon · P F Yiu 6 60.0 1/2
4 12 MY WISH L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 7.0 1
5 6 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly CP1/TT1 Z Purton · P C Ng 11 7.0 1-1/2
6 9 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 4 73.0 2-3/4
7 5 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 7 70.0 3
8 8 CHANCHENG GLORY Closed strongly B/XB J Moreira · K W Lui 9 34.0 3-1/2
9 3 GAIA FORCE Y Kawada · H Sugiyama 13 47.0 4-1/2
10 4 BEAUTY ETERNAL E A Atzeni · J Size 5 142.0 5
11 11 GOEMON XB K Stott · H Shaheen 8 175.0 5-1/4
12 7 ROYAL PATRONAGE T Clark · W'House & Bott 3 34.0 6-1/2
13 1 MR BRIGHTSIDE V C Williams · B,W & JD Hayes 2 5.6 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-27 was Group 1 over 1600m. RED LION, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by SH, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and SUNLIGHT POWER third. The winner led throughout. The 1.6 favourite VOYAGE BUBBLE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RED LION—2. VOYAGE BUBBLE+0.1L3. SUNLIGHT POWER+0.5L4. MY WISH+1L5. GALAXY PATCH+1.5L6. HAPPY TOGETHER+2.75L7. BEAUTY JOY+3L8. CHANCHENG GLORY+3.5L9. GAIA FORCE+4.5L10. BEAUTY ETERNAL+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick VOYAGE BUBBLE (42.3%) finished 2nd — the winner RED LION was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE 42.3% 2.37 2
2 12 MY WISH 16.4% 6.08 4
3 6 GALAXY PATCH 8.4% 11.84 5
4 1 MR BRIGHTSIDE 4.9% 20.28 13
5 4 BEAUTY ETERNAL 4.1% 24.13 10
6 8 CHANCHENG GLORY 4.0% 24.98 8
7 7 ROYAL PATRONAGE 3.8% 26.10 12
8 3 GAIA FORCE 3.0% 33.77 9
9 9 HAPPY TOGETHER 2.8% 35.10 6
10 13 SUNLIGHT POWER 2.8% 35.48 3
11 11 GOEMON 2.7% 36.85 11
12 10 RED LION 2.7% 37.22 1
13 5 BEAUTY JOY 1.9% 52.48 7
VOYAGE BUBBLEMY WISHGALAXY PATCHMR BRIGHTSIDEBEAUTY ETERNALCHANCHENG GLORYROYAL PATRONAGEGAIA FORCEHAPPY TOGETHERSUNLIGHT POWERGOEMONRED LION — wonBEAUTY JOY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 908

PLACE

2 10.5

10 117

13 91.5

QUINELLA

2,10 478.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 139.5

2,13 106.5

10,13 1,823

FORECAST

10,2 2,450

TIERCE

10,2,13 49,754

TRIO

2,10,13 4,347

FIRST 4

2,10,12,13 3,543

QUARTET

10,2,13,12 416,720

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

4/2 10.5

4/10 2,904.5