跑馬地 · 2025-06-25 · 13:25
第 6場
2025-06-25跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由B Avdulla策騎、D J Hall訓練的NEVER TOO SOON勝出，贏出3。EXCEED THE WISH獲得亞軍；HONEST WITNESS獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON CP 1.09.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | EXCEED THE WISH H A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 11 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 10 | 7.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | AMAZING KID B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 3 | 29.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | MEGA BONUS V J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS H M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 9 | 5.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SAVVY TWINKLE CP-/XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GOOD PROSPECT CP/H/XB A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 12 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING AKEED B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 91.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | CONRAD THE GREAT TT1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | LAHORE B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 6.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LAHORE | 25.0% | 4.00 | 12 |
| 2 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS | 13.5% | 7.43 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 11.3% | 8.88 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON | 9.3% | 10.71 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 8.7% | 11.52 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | CONRAD THE GREAT | 7.5% | 13.25 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 6.8% | 14.63 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | MEGA BONUS | 6.2% | 16.12 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | EXCEED THE WISH | 5.1% | 19.76 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | GOOD PROSPECT | 4.3% | 23.48 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | AMAZING KID | 1.4% | 70.49 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | FLYING AKEED | 1.0% | 105.22 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 33
PLACE
2 15
7 24
10 53.5
QUINELLA
2,10 283.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 52
2,10 91.5
7,10 213
FORECAST
2,10 488
TIERCE
2,10,7 3,434
TRIO
2,7,10 786
FIRST 4
2,4,7,10 4,809
QUARTET
2,10,7,4 71,372
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 239
3/10 224.5