跑馬地 · 2025-06-25 · 14:00
第 7場
2025-06-25跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1650米。由H Bentley策騎、C S Shum訓練的WROTE A NEW PAGE勝出，贏出3/4。CAPITAL LEGEND獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA MOXIE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.7倍大熱門CALIFORNIA MOXIE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WROTE A NEW PAGE 一路領先 TT 1.39.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 7 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 3 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | AMAZING GAZE H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 9.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | JUMBO FORTUNE 後段發力 B/TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 10 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | SETANTA 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 4 | 7.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | FLOOF H1/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | CHILL MASTER TT A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 5 | 128.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | TO INFINITY A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 37.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | ZETTA FORCE B K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 16.7% | 5.99 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 15.9% | 6.30 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | AMAZING GAZE | 13.0% | 7.72 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 12.0% | 8.33 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | FLOOF | 10.3% | 9.72 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | SETANTA | 9.0% | 11.05 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 5.7% | 17.43 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPREME AGILITY | 5.3% | 18.75 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | ZETTA FORCE | 5.1% | 19.57 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | CAN'T GO WONG | 2.7% | 37.25 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | TO INFINITY | 2.6% | 38.11 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | CHILL MASTER | 1.7% | 59.96 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 58.5
PLACE
2 30.5
3 20.5
7 15
QUINELLA
2,3 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 83.5
2,7 62
3,7 35
FORECAST
3,2 514
TIERCE
3,2,7 1,241
TRIO
2,3,7 142
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 474
QUARTET
3,2,7,6 13,917
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,10/2,3,7 28,769
6TH DOUBLE
2/2 60.5
2/3 160
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,11/2,7,10/2,3,7 7,009,841
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,11/2,7,10/Any Combination 79,902