沙田 · 2025-10-12 · 08:40
第 8場
2025-10-12沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的MR ENERGIA勝出。BLAZING WIND獲得亞軍；GIANT LEAP獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MR ENERGIA 1:08.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 1.8 | — |
| 2 | 11 | BLAZING WIND R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 8 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | GIANT LEAP B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 7 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | FATAL BLOW M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | NEW FOREST L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 6.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | GUMMY GUMMY L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 3 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SOLID SHALAA E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 2 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | SUGAR SUGAR K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 5 | 46.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | MUST GO H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 13.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | OTOKOMAE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 51.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CAMP LAND A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 123.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 37.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MR ENERGIA | 26.0% | 3.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | NEW FOREST | 21.0% | 4.77 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | SOLID SHALAA | 9.9% | 10.07 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | GUMMY GUMMY | 8.8% | 11.38 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | MUST GO | 7.9% | 12.63 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | FATAL BLOW | 7.5% | 13.39 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | BLAZING WIND | 6.1% | 16.42 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.5% | 22.00 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | GIANT LEAP | 3.7% | 26.97 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH | 1.7% | 58.07 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | OTOKOMAE | 1.5% | 64.98 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | CAMP LAND | 1.3% | 78.76 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 18.5
PLACE
5 78
6 11
11 20
QUINELLA
6,11 71.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 125.5
5,11 314.5
6,11 29
FORECAST
6,11 101
TIERCE
6,11,5 1,735
TRIO
5,6,11 661
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 1,339
QUARTET
6,11,5,12 14,368
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,9/5,6,11 57,231
7TH DOUBLE
9/6 1,326
9/11 621.5