跑馬地 · 2025-10-15 · 15:00
第 9場
2025-10-15跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1800米。由Z Purton策騎、M Newnham訓練的EXCELLENCE VALUE勝出。WROTE A NEW PAGE獲得亞軍；CHARITY GAIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.8倍大熱門WROTE A NEW PAGE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EXCELLENCE VALUE 後段發力 1:48.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 6 | 5.4 | — |
| 2 | 6 | WROTE A NEW PAGE 後段發力 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 7 | 4.8 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | CHARITY GAIN 後段發力 L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 2 | 8.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | LIVEANDLETLIVE 早段領放 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ROMANTIC LAOS 後段發力 C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 9 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CAMBRIDGE 後段發力 H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 5 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HIGHLAND RAHY C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | 8.0 | — |
| 7 | 11 | WITHALLMYFAITH M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | — | 15.0 | — |
| 9 | 2 | JOY OF SPRING 後段發力 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 8.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 35.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | SURE JOYFUL M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 45.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 17.5% | 5.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 16.1% | 6.20 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 14.0% | 7.13 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 13.1% | 7.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | CAMBRIDGE | 9.2% | 10.88 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | CHARITY GAIN | 8.3% | 12.06 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | JOY OF SPRING | 6.8% | 14.75 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.8% | 26.47 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 2.9% | 34.76 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | WITHALLMYFAITH | 2.8% | 35.28 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 2.8% | 35.68 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | SURE JOYFUL | 2.7% | 36.57 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 54.5
PLACE
6 17.5
8 20.5
9 27.5
QUINELLA
6,8 139
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 55.5
6,9 73
8,9 83.5
FORECAST
8,6 266
TIERCE
8,6,9 1,754
TRIO
6,8,9 351
FIRST 4
6,7,8,9 655
QUARTET
8,6,9,7 12,873
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
8/6/6 121
8/6/8 835
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,9/6,8,9 38,995
8TH DOUBLE
6/6 19.5
6/8 136.5
SIX UP
7,9/5,11/1,5/2,8/1,6/6,8 3,775
9/5/5/8/6/8 149,111
3 [C Y Ho] —
7 [K W Lui] —