跑馬地 · 2026-02-04 · 12:35
YIK YAM HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-02-04跑馬地第5場「YIK YAM HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、W K Mo訓練的STORMI勝出。VIVACIOUS WIN獲得亞軍；FORZA TORO獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.5倍大熱門FORZA TORO跑獲第3名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STORMI 一路領先 CP/TT 1:39.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 3 | 4.2 | — |
| 2 | 12 | VIVACIOUS WIN 後段發力 CP/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 9.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | FORZA TORO TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | WIN EASE 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 9 | 111.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | TURIN WARRIOR 後段發力 XB M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL TT M Guyon · P F Yiu | M Guyon | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | INCANTO STAR B1 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 6 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | ICONICAL TT- L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 12 | 27.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | RAINBOW WARRIOR CP/TT K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 4 | 118.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BULL ATTITUDE CP · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STORMI | 21.5% | 4.66 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | FORZA TORO | 19.2% | 5.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | INCANTO STAR | 8.3% | 12.12 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL | 8.2% | 12.17 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | VIVACIOUS WIN | 7.9% | 12.74 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | AESTHETICISM | 7.8% | 12.88 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 5.5% | 18.31 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | TURIN WARRIOR | 3.5% | 28.74 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | ICONICAL | 2.5% | 40.06 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | WIN EASE | 1.3% | 77.61 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | RAINBOW WARRIOR | 1.1% | 93.22 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 42.5
PLACE
4 15
8 16.5
12 28.5
QUINELLA
8,12 152.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 26.5
4,12 42.5
8,12 48.5
FORECAST
8,12 343
TIERCE
8,12,4 1,085
TRIO
4,8,12 167
FIRST 4
4,5,8,12 823
QUARTET
8,12,4,5 15,993
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/12/8 6,932
7/12/12 1,728
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,12/4,8,12 6,343
7,9,12/4,8,12 20,438
4TH DOUBLE
12/8 339
12/12 93.5