跑馬地 · 2026-03-04 · 11:40
TRANS-ISLAND CHINALINK HANDICAP
第 3場
2026-03-04跑馬地第3場「TRANS-ISLAND CHINALINK HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程2200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、M Newnham訓練的ACE WAR勝出。STAR BROSE獲得亞軍；DOUBLE WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（4）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ACE WAR 後段發力 XB2/TT- 2:16.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 12 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 11 | STAR BROSE 後段發力 B-/CP2/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | DOUBLE WIN 後段發力 V/XB/TT D B McMonagle · K L Man | D B McMonagle | K L Man | 1 | 8.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SMART CITY 早段領放 CP/XB C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 2 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 3 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SURE JOYFUL 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 6 | 52.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SERANGOON 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 32.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | PING HAI COMET H K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 7 | 24.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | VIVA TASTE TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 9.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | YOUNG BRAVO CP/XB J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 5 | 8.7 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | MEGA FORCE TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 4 | 31.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 12 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ACE WAR | 20.8% | 4.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | STAR BROSE | 13.3% | 7.54 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | YOUNG BRAVO | 11.3% | 8.84 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | SMART CITY | 11.1% | 9.01 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | DOUBLE WIN | 10.7% | 9.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | SERANGOON | 9.0% | 11.12 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | VIVA TASTE | 4.9% | 20.21 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | PING HAI COMET | 4.5% | 22.35 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | MEGA FORCE | 4.0% | 25.08 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 3.5% | 28.36 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 3.5% | 28.47 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | SURE JOYFUL | 3.4% | 29.13 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 28.5
PLACE
3 27.5
6 16
11 18
QUINELLA
6,11 95.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 59
3,11 80.5
6,11 39.5
FORECAST
6,11 161
TIERCE
6,11,3 1,226
TRIO
3,6,11 327
FIRST 4
3,6,9,11 731
QUARTET
6,11,3,9 13,247
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,11/3,6,11 28,490
2ND DOUBLE
11/6 495
11/11 80