沙田 · 2026-03-22 · 07:00
FAY FAY HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-03-22沙田第5場「FAY FAY HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的AEROINVINCIBLE勝出。EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS獲得亞軍；JOLLY BRILLIANT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門ABSOLUTE HONOUR跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（3）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AEROINVINCIBLE 後段發力 H/TT 1:21.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 6.3 | — |
| 2 | 5 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 後段發力 XB L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 1 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | JOLLY BRILLIANT 後段發力 B D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 4 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 12 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR B-/TT- Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | GALLANT DESIGN 後段發力 B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 9 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER 後段發力 B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | REGENCY DREAM 後段發力 J Orman · D Eustace | J Orman | D Eustace | 5 | 54.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT 早段領放 R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | CONRAD PATCH TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 11 | 9.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | GORGEOUS VICTORY TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 10 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | STAR SATYR 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | REZEKI B P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | LUCKY GIBS K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 149.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | CHILL PARTNERS CP C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 13 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BETTER AND BETTER H/P/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 14 | LUCK SMILES TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 13 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 17.3% | 5.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 17.1% | 5.85 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 9.6% | 10.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | JOLLY BRILLIANT | 8.8% | 11.36 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | CONRAD PATCH | 8.2% | 12.24 | 9 |
| 6 | 14 | CHILL PARTNERS | 6.0% | 16.71 | 14 |
| 7 | 4 | REZEKI | 5.4% | 18.48 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 5.4% | 18.52 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | GALLANT DESIGN | 5.1% | 19.44 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 4.7% | 21.16 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | STAR SATYR | 4.7% | 21.48 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | REGENCY DREAM | 3.5% | 28.56 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | GORGEOUS VICTORY | 2.7% | 36.40 | 10 |
| 14 | 8 | LUCKY GIBS | 1.5% | 67.77 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 63
PLACE
1 22
5 45
11 30
QUINELLA
1,5 670.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 204
1,11 149
5,11 224
FORECAST
1,5 1,008
TIERCE
1,5,11 9,861
TRIO
1,5,11 1,470
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 1,348
QUARTET
1,5,11,12 42,048
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
9/3/1 451
9/3/5 208
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 213
3/5 81.5