Sha Tin · 2026-03-22 · 15:00
FAY FAY HANDICAP
Race 5
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AEROINVINCIBLE Closed strongly H/TT 1:21.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 6.3 | — |
| 2 | 5 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 1 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | JOLLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly B D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 4 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 12 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR B-/TT- Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | GALLANT DESIGN Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 9 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | REGENCY DREAM Closed strongly J Orman · D Eustace | J Orman | D Eustace | 5 | 54.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT Led early R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | CONRAD PATCH TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 11 | 9.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | GORGEOUS VICTORY TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 10 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | STAR SATYR Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | REZEKI B P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 12 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | LUCKY GIBS K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 149.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | CHILL PARTNERS CP C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 13 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BETTER AND BETTER H/P/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 14 | LUCK SMILES TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 13 | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 ("FAY FAY HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AEROINVINCIBLE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won, with EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS second and JOLLY BRILLIANT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite ABSOLUTE HONOUR finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 17.3% | 5.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 17.1% | 5.85 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 9.6% | 10.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | JOLLY BRILLIANT | 8.8% | 11.36 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | CONRAD PATCH | 8.2% | 12.24 | 9 |
| 6 | 14 | CHILL PARTNERS | 6.0% | 16.71 | 14 |
| 7 | 4 | REZEKI | 5.4% | 18.48 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 5.4% | 18.52 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | GALLANT DESIGN | 5.1% | 19.44 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 4.7% | 21.16 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | STAR SATYR | 4.7% | 21.48 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | REGENCY DREAM | 3.5% | 28.56 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | GORGEOUS VICTORY | 2.7% | 36.40 | 10 |
| 14 | 8 | LUCKY GIBS | 1.5% | 67.77 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 63
PLACE
1 22
5 45
11 30
QUINELLA
1,5 670.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 204
1,11 149
5,11 224
FORECAST
1,5 1,008
TIERCE
1,5,11 9,861
TRIO
1,5,11 1,470
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 1,348
QUARTET
1,5,11,12 42,048
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
9/3/1 451
9/3/5 208
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 213
3/5 81.5