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Sha Tin · 2026-03-22 · 17:25

RAPPER DRAGON HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #11 PERFECT TEAM — Weight Change #8 M M CONCORD — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:21.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 AEROVOLANIC Closed strongly CP 1:21.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng 4 2.8 —
2 2 SUPER EXPRESS TT D B McMonagle · J Size 11 2.4 2
3 5 AMAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 5.6 3-1/4
4 7 LEGEND WINNER Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 6 40.0 4
5 6 FLASH CURRENT Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting 12 22.0 4-3/4
6 4 OUTGATE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 21.0 5-1/4
7 1 MAKE YOU SMILE Closed strongly B Avdulla · D Eustace 5 48.0 5-1/2
8 8 M M CONCORD CP-/B2/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 1 154.0 5-3/4
9 12 TURIN CHAMPIONS SR H Bentley · D A Hayes 7 10.0 6-3/4
10 11 PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 234.0 12
11 10 REAL TIME XB- M F Poon · D J Hall 10 81.0 14-1/2
12 3 MASTER OF ALL Led early B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 9 78.0 16-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 ("RAPPER DRAGON HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-22 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AEROVOLANIC, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won, with SUPER EXPRESS second and AMAZING PARTNERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AEROVOLANIC—2. SUPER EXPRESS+2L3. AMAZING PARTNERS+3.25L4. LEGEND WINNER+4L5. FLASH CURRENT+4.75L6. OUTGATE+5.25L7. MAKE YOU SMILE+5.5L8. M M CONCORD+5.75L9. TURIN CHAMPIONS+6.75L10. PERFECT TEAM+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AEROVOLANIC (24.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 AEROVOLANIC 24.7% 4.05 1
2 12 TURIN CHAMPIONS 20.9% 4.79 9
3 5 AMAZING PARTNERS 20.0% 5.01 3
4 2 SUPER EXPRESS 17.2% 5.80 2
5 6 FLASH CURRENT 3.7% 27.39 5
6 4 OUTGATE 3.5% 28.61 6
7 7 LEGEND WINNER 3.3% 30.51 4
8 1 MAKE YOU SMILE 2.0% 49.55 7
9 11 PERFECT TEAM 1.6% 61.84 10
10 10 REAL TIME 1.4% 71.33 11
11 3 MASTER OF ALL 0.9% 110.98 12
12 8 M M CONCORD 0.8% 118.68 8
AEROVOLANIC — wonTURIN CHAMPIONSAMAZING PARTNERSSUPER EXPRESSFLASH CURRENTOUTGATELEGEND WINNERMAKE YOU SMILEPERFECT TEAMREAL TIMEMASTER OF ALLM M CONCORD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 28.5

PLACE

2 10.5

5 16

9 14

QUINELLA

2,9 32.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 21

2,9 16

5,9 26

FORECAST

9,2 62

TIERCE

9,2,5 182

TRIO

2,5,9 42

FIRST 4

2,5,7,9 247

QUARTET

9,2,5,7 2,073

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

13/2 90

13/9 639.5