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Sha Tin · 2026-03-22 · 09:25

RAPPER DRAGON HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 ("RAPPER DRAGON HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-22 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AEROVOLANIC, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won, with SUPER EXPRESS second and AMAZING PARTNERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #11 PERFECT TEAM — Weight Change #8 M M CONCORD — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:21.18
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 AEROVOLANIC Closed strongly CP 1:21.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng 4 2.8
2 2 SUPER EXPRESS TT D B McMonagle · J Size 11 2.4 2
3 5 AMAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 5.6 3-1/4
4 7 LEGEND WINNER Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 6 40.0 4
5 6 FLASH CURRENT Closed strongly TT A Badel · K H Ting 12 22.0 4-3/4
6 4 OUTGATE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 21.0 5-1/4
7 1 MAKE YOU SMILE Closed strongly B Avdulla · D Eustace 5 48.0 5-1/2
8 8 M M CONCORD CP-/B2/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 1 154.0 5-3/4
9 12 TURIN CHAMPIONS SR H Bentley · D A Hayes 7 10.0 6-3/4
10 11 PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 234.0 12
11 10 REAL TIME XB- M F Poon · D J Hall 10 81.0 14-1/2
12 3 MASTER OF ALL Led early B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 9 78.0 16-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AEROVOLANIC2. SUPER EXPRESS+2L3. AMAZING PARTNERS+3.25L4. LEGEND WINNER+4L5. FLASH CURRENT+4.75L6. OUTGATE+5.25L7. MAKE YOU SMILE+5.5L8. M M CONCORD+5.75L9. TURIN CHAMPIONS+6.75L10. PERFECT TEAM+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AEROVOLANIC (24.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 AEROVOLANIC 24.7% 4.05 1
2 12 TURIN CHAMPIONS 20.9% 4.79 9
3 5 AMAZING PARTNERS 20.0% 5.01 3
4 2 SUPER EXPRESS 17.2% 5.80 2
5 6 FLASH CURRENT 3.7% 27.39 5
6 4 OUTGATE 3.5% 28.61 6
7 7 LEGEND WINNER 3.3% 30.51 4
8 1 MAKE YOU SMILE 2.0% 49.55 7
9 11 PERFECT TEAM 1.6% 61.84 10
10 10 REAL TIME 1.4% 71.33 11
11 3 MASTER OF ALL 0.9% 110.98 12
12 8 M M CONCORD 0.8% 118.68 8
AEROVOLANIC — wonTURIN CHAMPIONSAMAZING PARTNERSSUPER EXPRESSFLASH CURRENTOUTGATELEGEND WINNERMAKE YOU SMILEPERFECT TEAMREAL TIMEMASTER OF ALLM M CONCORD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 28.5

PLACE

2 10.5

5 16

9 14

QUINELLA

2,9 32.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 21

2,9 16

5,9 26

FORECAST

9,2 62

TIERCE

9,2,5 182

TRIO

2,5,9 42

FIRST 4

2,5,7,9 247

QUARTET

9,2,5,7 2,073

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

13/2 90

13/9 639.5