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Sha Tin · 2026-03-22 · 06:30

SKY DARCI HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 4 ("SKY DARCI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLD PATCH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won, with ISLAND BUDDY second and ELEGANT LIFE third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:09.17
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 GOLD PATCH XB1 1:09.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 13 2.9
2 6 ISLAND BUDDY K Teetan · B Crawford 4 5.8 1/2
3 13 ELEGANT LIFE B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 12.0 2
4 7 VOYAGE BOSS B D B McMonagle · F C Lor 14 11.0 2-1/2
5 2 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 9 20.0 3
6 11 GREAT SPIRIT CP M F Poon · C H Yip 7 17.0 3-1/2
7 4 MASTER LUCKY A Atzeni · J Size 10 9.0 3-3/4
8 5 HAPPY SHOOTER TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 3 6.0 4
9 14 LUCKY PLUS H/XB/PC1 P N Wong · P C Ng 2 57.0 4-1/4
10 10 CELESTIAL STRIDER TT M Chadwick · W Y So 5 114.0 4-1/4
11 9 SHANDONG SPIRIT TT J Orman · P F Yiu 6 18.0 6-1/4
12 8 POLAR PATCH TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 11 20.0 8
13 1 EVERSTAR CP/TT2 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 1 76.0 8-1/4
14 12 LEATHER GOODS B/TT H T Mo · K L Man 12 251.0 14-1/2
0 INVINCIBLE STARR TT · D J Hall
0 CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLD PATCH2. ISLAND BUDDY+0.5L3. ELEGANT LIFE+2L4. VOYAGE BOSS+2.5L5. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+3L6. GREAT SPIRIT+3.5L7. MASTER LUCKY+3.75L8. HAPPY SHOOTER+4L9. LUCKY PLUS+4.25L10. CELESTIAL STRIDER+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GOLD PATCH (29.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 GOLD PATCH 29.1% 3.44 1
2 5 HAPPY SHOOTER 18.3% 5.45 8
3 4 MASTER LUCKY 12.1% 8.29 7
4 6 ISLAND BUDDY 10.4% 9.64 2
5 13 ELEGANT LIFE 5.5% 18.17 3
6 11 GREAT SPIRIT 5.4% 18.59 6
7 2 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 4.0% 24.76 5
8 7 VOYAGE BOSS 4.0% 24.98 4
9 8 POLAR PATCH 3.1% 32.78 12
10 9 SHANDONG SPIRIT 2.8% 35.40 11
11 1 EVERSTAR 2.3% 42.92 13
12 12 LEATHER GOODS 1.0% 98.01 14
13 10 CELESTIAL STRIDER 1.0% 98.15 10
14 14 LUCKY PLUS 1.0% 102.90 9
GOLD PATCH — wonHAPPY SHOOTERMASTER LUCKYISLAND BUDDYELEGANT LIFEGREAT SPIRITGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYVOYAGE BOSSPOLAR PATCHSHANDONG SPIRITEVERSTARLEATHER GOODSCELESTIAL STRIDERLUCKY PLUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 29.5

PLACE

3 15

6 17.5

13 37.5

QUINELLA

3,6 89

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 38

3,13 75

6,13 119.5

FORECAST

3,6 157

TIERCE

3,6,13 1,530

TRIO

3,6,13 445

FIRST 4

3,6,7,13 860

QUARTET

3,6,13,7 13,047

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,9/3,6,13 13,778

3RD DOUBLE

9/3 82.5

9/6 24.5